Consumer Behavior and Energy Demand Forecasts for the United States: A Synthesis of Neoclassical and Behavioral Approaches Using the Stanford Pilot CESM
In: Journal of policy modeling: JPMOD ; a social science forum of world issues, Band 6, Heft 3, S. 389-410
ISSN: 0161-8938
A combination of neoclassical & historical-behavioral perspectives on consumer energy consumption is presented, using the Consumer Energy Services Module (CESM) of the Stanford PILOT Energy/Economic Modeling System (eg, Barzelay, M., "The National Energy Potential according to PILOT: Analyzing U.S. Energy Options Using the PILOT Energy-Economic Model, Stanford U, Dept of Operations Research, 1977). The CESM exhibits the factors affecting consumer energy use, ie, the level of demand for energy services & the choice of energy systems for basic energy uses of space & water heating, air conditioning, & auto driving. The model is tested with four hypothetical consumer groups, ie, the "utility maximizers," the "live for today," the "conservatives," & the "radicals." 6 Tables, 7 References. D. Dunseath.