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Context Accurate estimates of population size is fundamentally important for effective conservation management of threatened species. Remote sensor camera traps often capture cryptic species that are difficult to sight or capture. When animals are individually identifiable, camera traps can be used in conjunction with mark–recapture methods to provide a robust estimate of density. This has been effective for medium and large mammals such as felid and quoll species. Less is known about whether this may be an effective approach for smaller species. The numbat (Myrmecobius fasciatus), a small diurnal marsupial once widespread across southern Australia, is now highly restricted. Low densities and crypsis make them challenging to survey, and current population monitoring methods (driving transects and sign surveys) do not provide accurate density estimates. Aims This study aimed to: (1) assess whether numbats can be individually identified using camera trap images; and (2) use spatial and non-spatial capture–recapture methods to investigate whether camera trapping is a viable population monitoring tool for numbats in the largest extant population. Methods We conducted spatial and non-spatial population modelling using images captured incidentally during a large camera-trapping project. Key results We found numbats could be individually identified by stripe patterns from camera images that, in conjunction with capture–recapture modelling, could provide a density estimate. From 6950 trap nights there were 116 numbat detections on 57 of 250 cameras. Of these, 61 detections were used to identify 29 individuals and provide a density estimate of 0.017 ha−1 ± 0.004 (CV = 0.26). This density applied across the estimated extent of distribution suggests a substantially larger numbat population in the Upper Warren, Western Australia (~1900 adults) than previously assumed. Conclusions Camera trapping is a potential method for monitoring the population density of small uniquely marked species, such as the numbat, and for monitoring population trends in response to conservation efforts such as introduced predator control and translocations, as well as management actions such as prescribed burning and timber harvesting. Implications This study contributes to the understanding of situations where camera traps can be utilised to survey small, cryptic species. To provide a more reliable density estimate, and to develop an optimal sampling layout for numbats, further studies would be required.

Context Invasive predators are major drivers of global biodiversity loss. Red foxes (Vulpes vulpes) and feral cats (Felis catus) have contributed to the decline and extinction of many native species in Australia. The deployment of poison baits to control fox populations is a widespread conservation tool, but the effects of baiting intensity, rainfall and prey abundance on baiting effectiveness remain poorly understood. Aims We aimed to understand what influences the association between fox baiting intensity, red fox activity and feral cat activity, to provide inferences about what might affect the effectiveness of fox baiting in reducing fox activity. Methods We used generalised linear models to assess how fox and cat activity changes in relation to fox baiting intensity, rainfall, native prey availability and distance to agricultural land over a 6-year period (2006–13) in the forest ecosystems of the Upper Warren region of south-western Australia. Key results We found that fox activity was negatively associated with rainfall in the previous 12 months and positively associated with prey abundance and fox baiting intensity. We also found an interaction between fox baiting and prey abundance, with fox activity increasing with prey activity in areas of low and moderate baiting intensity, but remaining constant in areas of high baiting intensity. Feral cat activity was positively associated with prey abundance and fox baiting intensity. We found no clear relationship between fox and cat activity. Conclusions The drivers of the association between fox baiting and fox activity are unclear because intense fox baiting was targeted at areas of known high fox abundance. However, our results indicate that intense fox baiting may be effective at decoupling the positive association between fox activity and prey abundance. Our results also suggest a positive association between fox baiting intensity and feral cat activity, thus supporting the case for integrated fox and cat management. Implications We caution interpretation of our results, but note that management of invasive predators could be improved by adjusting the intensity of management in response to changes in environmental conditions and local context (e.g. strategically conducting intense predator management where prey abundance is highest). Improved understanding of these associations requires a monitoring program with sufficient replication and statistical power to detect any treatment effects.