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Der Beitrag skizziert die wirtschaftliche Entwicklung afrikanische Staaten südlich der Sahara seit ihrer Unabhängigkeit. Gemeinsam sind ihnen strukturelle Gegebenheiten, die einen wirtschaftlichen Fortschritt behindern. (DÜI-Gbh)

Background: The INSPIRE framework was developed by 10 global agencies as the first global package for preventing and responding to violence against children. The framework includes seven complementary strategies. Delivering all seven strategies is a challenge in resource limited contexts. Consequently, governments are requesting additional evidence to inform which 'accelerator' provisions can simultaneously reduce multiple types of violence against children. Methods and Findings: We pooled data from two prospective South African adolescent cohorts including Young Carers (2010-2012), and Mzantsi Wakho (2014-2017). The combined sample size was 5034 adolescents. Each cohort measured six self-reported violence outcomes: sexual abuse, transactional sexual exploitation, physical abuse, emotional abuse, community violence victimisation, and youth lawbreaking; and seven self-reported INSPIRE-aligned protective factors: positive parenting, parental monitoring and supervision, food security at home, basic economic security at home, free schooling, free school meals, and abuse response services. Associations between hypothesised protective factors and violence outcomes were estimated jointly in a sex-stratified multivariate path model, controlling for baseline outcomes and socio-demographics, and correcting for multiple hypothesis testing using the Benjamini-Hochberg procedure. We calculated adjusted probability estimates conditional on the presence of no, one, or all protective factors significantly associated with reduced odds of at least three forms of violence in the path model. Adjusted risk differences (ARD) and risk ratios (ARR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI) were also calculated. The sample mean age was 13.54 years and 56.62% were female. There was 4% loss to follow up. Positive parenting, parental monitoring and supervision, and food security at home, were each associated with lower odds of three or more violence outcomes (p<0.05). For girls, the adjusted probability of violence outcomes was estimated to be ...