To Dare More Boldly: The Audacious Story of Political Risk
Cover -- Title -- Copyright -- Dedication -- CONTENTS -- CHAPTER ONE 480 BC: Introduction—The First Political Risk Analysts: The Pythia of Delphi -- The Pythia as the World's First Political Risk Consultant -- The Pythia Masters the Persians -- The Merits of History -- A Potted History of the Modern Political Risk Business -- Hans Morgenthau, Realism, and Modern Geopolitical Risk -- Brian Wilson and Greek Attributes -- Back to the Past of the Pythia's Lair to Glean the Future of Geopolitical Risk Analysis -- CHAPTER TWO 31 AD: We Are the Risk -- The Decline and Fall of the Roman Empire -- Edward Gibbon and How Political Risk Analysts Think -- The Rise of Sejanus and the Fall of the Roman Empire -- An Avoidable Tragedy in France and the Root Cause of Europe's Decline -- Europe's Ticking Demographic Time Bomb -- Karl-Theodor zu Guttenberg and Germany's Distrust of Success -- The Sudden End of Europe's Sunny Way of Life -- The Political Naïveté of Lying about Europe's Gloomy Future -- Rome Dies from Within -- CHAPTER THREE 1192 AD: Gaming Out Lunatics -- The Assassins and the Old Man of the Mountain -- The Old Man of the Mountain Demonstrates What Power Actually Is -- Rashid ad-Din Sinan and the Benefits of Being Seen as Crazy -- The Elusive Madness of Charles Manson -- The Method of ISIS's Madness -- Sinan Bests Saladin -- Sinan Bests the Crusaders -- CHAPTER FOUR 1503 AD: Gaming Out Chess Players -- Machiavelli, Cesare Borgia, and Pope Julius II -- Machiavelli Attempts a Comeback -- Machiavelli Backs the Wrong Horse -- Cesare Borgia's Overrated Bond Villain Luster -- Washington and Hamilton as Chess Players -- Washington's Farewell Address as Geopolitical Strategy -- Julius Runs Rings around Borgia -- The Prince with Julius as Hero -- The Analytical Riches That Come from Spotting Chess Players