Suchergebnisse

While it has long been acknowledged that issues play an important role in conflict processes, research on war duration has paid insufficient attention to them. In this paper, I help to remedy this deficiency by devising an original theory concerning the role of issues in war. I do this by focusing on the tangibility of the issues under dispute. I contend as the intangible salience increases, the more difficult it will be for states to bring their wars to an end. Ultimately, the more intangible salience that the issues possess, the longer wars will be. I use a mixed-methods approach. In the quantitative analysis, I employ original measures of intangible salience using data from a world-wide expert survey as well as new data on issues fought over during war. In the qualitative portion, I perform an in-depth case study on the effects of the issues on the war duration during the Vietnam War. Ultimately, I find strong support for my assertions that the issues lead states to engage in war prolongation behavior which in turn leads to longer wars.

In 2013, the Seychelles were recorded as having the highest Gini coefficient (66 per cent) for income inequality of any country in the world (World Development Indicators, 2014). The republic had then been independent for thirty seven years. Before independence, however, it had been under colonial rule for some two hundred years.It is therefore interesting to go back to its colonial past to see how unequal was the distribution of income under British governance. Shortly before independence, the Government of the Seychelles reported that "information on the distribution of personal incomes in Seychelles is incomplete, and in particular there is little information about the incomes of the rich" (Government of Seychelles, 1975, page 35). There was however one source that could have been exploited: the income tax returns published by the colonial authorities. It is this source that is used in the present paper.

In 2013, the Seychelles were recorded as having the highest Gini coefficient (66 per cent) for income inequality of any country in the world (World Development Indicators, 2014). The republic had then been independent for thirty seven years. Before independence, however, it had been under colonial rule for some two hundred years.It is therefore interesting to go back to its colonial past to see how unequal was the distribution of income under British governance. Shortly before independence, the Government of the Seychelles reported that "information on the distribution of personal incomes in Seychelles is incomplete, and in particular there is little information about the incomes of the rich" (Government of Seychelles, 1975, page 35). There was however one source that could have been exploited: the income tax returns published by the colonial authorities. It is this source that is used in the present paper.

This paper presents new historical evidence about the distribution of income in the three former British colonial territories of Central Africa: Malawi, Zambia and Zimbabwe. Zimbabwe in its colonial period, under its then name of Southern Rhodesia, was a highly unequal country, but little is known about just how unequal it was. According to Kuznets (1963, Table 3), in 1946 the white settlers made up some 5 per cent of the population and received 65.3 per cent of total income. But how was this distributed among the settler population? How did the distribution change over the colonial period? What was the distributional impact of the Unilateral Declaration of Independence (UDI) and the ensuing civil war? Northern Rhodesia, now Zambia, featured in Table 3 of Kuznets (1963) as having a share of the top 5 per cent in 1946 of 45.3 per cent, exceeded only by Southern Rhodesia. The Kuznets figure for Northern Rhodesia was based solely on total non-African and African incomes, and, as he clearly recognises, understates the true inequality. It tells us nothing about the inequality within these groups. Europeans in the mining industry may well have been paid considerably more than those in the government service. Equally, in the case of Malawi, previously Nyasaland, we know little about the extent of income inequality before and after the country became independent in 1964.

In June of 2005, the relatively small and generally insignificant energy company Unocal became the focus of a fierce bidding war. China National Offshore Oil Company (CNOOC) made the first move, outbidding the American firm Chevron. Accepting the CNOOC bid looked like an obvious choice for Unocal since it was almost $1.5 billion dollars more. However, as it became increasingly clear that policy makers in Washington would not allow the deal to go through CNOOC withdrew its bid and Unocal had little option but to accept Chevron's offer. Washington's opposition seemed to be an overreaction to a deal that would have little immediate or long-term impact on U.S. energy supplies. Unocal accounted for less than one percent of U.S. oil and gas production. The opposition, however, was the product of larger forces. Industry experts and policy makers projected that the world was entering a period of fossil fuel scarcity. Holding energy resources was of vital importance for energy security and national survival. American policy makers found the deal unacceptable. China had a comparable energy demand and deficit. China would likely divert energy products away from the United States and towards itself. Many observers thought that this would be the beginning of what would be a long, drawn-out battle between the two countries over the world's fossil fuel resources. This competition, many believed, would unavoidably strain resources, and scholars such as Michael Klare predicted it would eventually end in war. In 2005, few would have predicted that the U.S. and China would soon cooperate in the development of energy resources located in the United States. This, however, is what transpired. In 2010, the U.S. allowed a Chinese company to invest in its domestic energy resources. CNOOC, the company that five years earlier had their attempt to invest in American energy assets blocked, reached a deal with Chesapeake Energy to help develop and produce shale gas reserves in the Eagle Ford formation in Texas. In 2011, these two companies reached an agreement to develop shale resources in Colorado and Wyoming. A little less than a year later, the Chinese firm Sinopec and the American firm Devon Energy also entered into a joint venture. CNOOC and Sinopec are also currently in competition to buy a 30 percent stake in FTS international, a company that specializes in hydraulic fracturing technology. Why would U.S. policy makers allow Chinese investment in 2010? This question becomes especially perplexing when taking into consideration that the energy demand for both countries grew during this time, and projections of energy scarcity have persisted. While the shale gas boom has given US policy makers reason for optimism, the amount of gas in the ground or how long it will supply U.S. demand is far from certain. I will offer an explanation for this puzzle by applying the theory outlined by Stephen Brooks in his book Producing Security. I will use his theory to create a typology that explains when US policy makers support cooperation and when they do not. I will argue that the United States can no longer seek to obtain energy security independently, or to limit investment only to close allies who pose no threat to energy supplies. High costs and rapid technological development have forced the United States to allow for investment from China, an energy competitor. The United States, however, does not indiscriminately allow for Chinese investment but will only do so when the investment will enable technological innovation and provide needed capital that will further ensure energy security. This paper will continue as follows: I will first provide a review of the relevant literature. I will then offer the theoretical foundations of my argument. I will then give the relevant background information. This will include a brief explanation of natural gas exploration and production as well as a short historical outline of the U.S.-China energy relationship. I will then test two case studies against the hypotheses that I will pose later in this paper. The first case will provide an in-depth examination of the previous attempt of CNOOC to buy a stake in American-held energy assets in 2005. This incident will help provide a baseline of the behavior of energy-deficit states when energy is scarce, or there are projections of scarcity, and there is no pressing need for technological innovation to produce fossil fuel economically. The second case study, U.S.-Chinese shale gas cooperation, will show the response of the United States when projects are technologically and capital intensive.

This paper argues that welfare economics should be restored to a prominent place on the agenda of economists, and should occupy a central role in the teaching of economics. Economists should provide justification for the ethical criteria underlying welfare statements, and these criteria require constant re-evaluation in the light of developments in economic analysis and in moral philosophy. Economists need to be more explicit about the relation between welfare criteria and the objectives of governments, policy-makers and individual citizens. Moreover, such a restoration of welfare economics should be accompanied by consideration of the adoption of an ethical code for the economics profession.

Resumen.Está muy extendida la opinión de que la desigualdad de ingresos ha aumentado en los países de la Organización de Cooperación y Desarrollo Económicos (OCDE) desde 1980. Se piensa que ello se debe al cambio tecnológico favorable al trabajo especializado, al crecimiento relativo de la demanda de trabajadores cualificados y a la competencia internacional que genera la globalización en perjuicio de los trabajadores sin cualificar. Pero esta explicación resulta ya muy endeble por sí sola, dado que la desigualdad se propaga a ritmos muy distintos en los países y que la disparidad avanza mucho más en la cúspide de la pirámide de ingresos. El autor estudia con nuevos ojos las tendencias de los últimos decenios y aporta explicaciones complementarias a la teoría de la carrera entre la tecnología y la cualificación profesional.

Résumé.Il est généralement admis que les inégalités salariales se sont fortement accentuées dans les pays de l'OCDE depuis 1980. L'explication habituelle est la hausse constante de la demande de travail qualifié, due au progrès technique favorisant les qualifications, et l'exposition de la main‐d'æuvre non qualifiée à la concurrence internationale du fait de la mondialisation. Mais l'évolution de la répartition des salaires diffère d'un pays à l'autre et c'est dans la partie supérieure de l'échelle des revenus que leur dispersion augmente le plus. L'auteur se livre à un réexamen minutieux des données pour proposer d'ajouter d'autres explications à celle de la course entre technologie et éducation.