Invasive Species
Cover -- Half-title -- Title page -- Copyright information -- Table of contents -- List of contributors -- Foreword -- 1 The Allocation of Inspection Resources -- 1.1 Introduction -- 1.2 Conceptual Framework -- 1.3 The IRIS Algorithm -- 1.3.1 Bayes-IRIS -- 1.3.2 Bayes-IRIS with Imperfect Inspections -- 1.4 The CSP Algorithm -- 1.4.1 Combining IRIS and CSP -- 1.5 Aggregation of Pathways -- 1.5.1 Simulation Experiment -- 1.5.2 Results -- 1.6 Acknowledgements -- References -- 2 Tools for Designing and Evaluating Post-Border Surveillance Systems -- 2.1 Introduction -- 2.2 Tools for Surveillance of a Single Species -- 2.2.1 Surveillance for Market Access -- 2.2.2 Surveillance for Early Detection -- Identifying Where to Look -- Identifying How to Look -- Identifying How Hard to Look -- 2.2.3 Surveillance for Delimitation -- Where to Look -- How to Look -- How to Achieve Delimitation -- 2.2.4 Surveillance for Monitoring -- 2.3 Estimating Detection Probability -- 2.3.1 Controlled Experiments for Measuring Detectability -- 2.3.2 Empirical Approaches to Estimating Detection Probabilities -- 2.4 Decision Making -- 2.4.1 Short-term Decision Making -- 2.4.2 Long-term Decision Making -- 2.5 Discussion -- 2.6 Acknowledgements -- References -- 3 Control Charts for Biosecurity Monitoring and Surveillance -- 3.1 Introduction -- 3.1.1 SPC -- SPC and Biosecurity -- Control Charting Basics - The Shewhart Chart -- Process Smoothing -- Time-weighted Charts -- 3.1.2 Time between Events -- 3.1.3 Control Chart for Time-between-Events -- 3.2 Bayesian Control Charting -- 3.2.1 Bayesian Statistics - Basic Concepts -- 3.3 A Bayesian Control Chart for Biosurveillance -- 3.3.1 Mathematical Detail -- 3.3.2 Updating the Prior -- 3.3.3 Predictive Distributions for . and . -- 3.3.4 Adaptive Control Limits -- 3.4 Example - An Adaptive Control Chart for Shipping Container Inspections.