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Working paper
Die Auswirkungen des China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC)
In: SWP-Aktuell, Band 26/2016
"Der China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) stellt eine der bislang größten chinesischen Auslandinvestitionen im Rahmen der "One Belt, One Road"-Initiative dar. Im Zuge der Ausgaben in Höhe von rund 46 Milliarden US-Dollar, die in den nächsten Jahren geplant sind, werden sich die chinesisch-pakistanischen Beziehungen weiter vertiefen. Zugleich wird Pakistan für die chinesische Außenpolitik an Bedeutung gewinnen. Der CPEC betrifft aber auch die indisch-pakistanischen Beziehungen. Der Transportkorridor zwischen Pakistan und China verläuft durch Jammu und Kaschmir, dessen Status zwischen Indien und Pakistan seit 1947 umstritten ist. Aufgrund dieser Konstellation ist ein Negativszenario naheliegend, dem zufolge der CPEC die indisch-pakistanischen Beziehungen zusätzlich belasten könnte. Allerdings ist auch ein positives Szenario denkbar, in dem langfristig sogar eine Beilegung des Kaschmirkonflikts möglich erscheint." (Autorenreferat)
The effects of the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor on India-Pakistan relations
In: SWP Comment, Band 25/2016
The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) constitutes one of the largest foreign investments China has made in the framework of the "One Belt, One Road" initiative. The expenditures planned for the coming years in the amount of approximately $46 billion will further intensify relations between China and Pakistan. At the same time, Pakistan will assume a more prominent role in China's foreign policy. But CPEC also affects relations between India and Pakistan. The transport corridor between Pakistan and China traverses Jammu and Kashmir, the status of which has been a subject of contention between India and Pakistan since 1947. This constellation would seem to suggest a negative scenario whereby CPEC could place additional strain on India-Pakistan relations. On the other hand, a positive scenario is also conceivable, with a settlement of the Kashmir dispute even becoming possible in the long term. (author's abstract)
India, China and Pakistan
In: Pacific affairs: an international review of Asia and the Pacific, Band 41, Heft 3, S. 469
ISSN: 1715-3379
China, India & Pakistan strategic triangle – the Pakistan factor in Sino-Indian relations
In: Global affairs, Band 6, Heft 4-5, S. 559-575
ISSN: 2334-0479
Power Cycle Analysis of India, China, and Pakistan in Regional and Global Politics
In: International political science review: IPSR = Revue internationale de science politique : RISP, Band 24, Heft 1, S. 113-122
ISSN: 0192-5121
Structural change in Asia among India, China, & Pakistan has been intense & is directly associated with the instability that has resulted. As these governments move forward on their regional & global power cycles, what points of non-linearity (critical points) yet await the region & the larger system, & with what effect? The article calls for management of the foreign policy role such that comparative calm is sustained in the midst of structural change & uncertainty. 1 Figure, 21 References. [Copyright 2003 Sage Publications Ltd.]
The China-India-Pakistan strategic triangle
In: Aakrosh: Asian journal on international terrorism and conflicts, Band 10, Heft 35, S. 10-28
ISSN: 0971-7862
Der Autor beschreibt die militärisch-diplomatische Strategie der VR China gegenüber Indien seit 1949. In den Spannungen an der chinesisch-indischen Grenze und hier wieder besonders im Himalaya (Annektion Tibets ab 1950) offenbarte sich, dass China gewillt war das Machtvakuum, das die britische Kolonialverwaltung hinterlassen hatte, durch militärisch untermauerte Machtpolitik auf Kosten des indischen Nachbarn auszufüllen. Die indische Regierung unter Nehru, die sich dem Anspruch der "friedlichen Koexistenz" verpflichtet fühlte, erkannte Chinas außenpolitisches Konzept zu spät (erst mit dem chinesisch-indischen Grenzkrieg 1962). Dem zeitlich darauf folgenden strategischen Bündnis zwischen China und dem indischen Rivalen Pakistan (Kashmir-Konflikt) hatte Indien wenig entgegen zu setzen. Die atomare Zusammenarbeit zwischen China und Pakistan seit den 1980er Jahren bestimmt die indische Sicherheitspolitik bis heute. (IFSH-Pll)
World Affairs Online
Almost equi-marginal principle based composite index of globalization: China, India and Pakistan
Abstract. The present study proposes an alternative method to construct an index of globalization which is based on the principle of almost equi-marginal contributions (AEMC) or Shapley values of the constituent variables to the overall index rather than the correlation coefficients among the constituent variables and the overall index (the KOF index based on the principal component scores). This has been done by minimization of the Euclidean norm of the Shapley values of the constituent variables. As an exercise, secondary time series data (1970-2013) on the measures of globalization in three different dimensions (economic, social and political) of three economies (China, India and Pakistan) have been used. A comparison of the AEMC index with the KOF index reveals that while the former is more inclusive, the latter is more elitist in matters of inclusion of the weakly correlated constituent variables in the overall (composite) index. As a consequence, the AEMC index is more sensitive than the KOF index of globalization. Both indices capture the trends in globalization in the countries under study and are highly correlated between themselves. Thus, AEMC is an alternative or perhaps a better method to construct composite indices. Keywords. Globalization, KOF index, Equi-marginal, Shapley value, Global optimization, China, India, Pakistan.JEL. C43, C61, C71, F60, P52.
BASE
Power Cycle Analysis of India, China, and Pakistan in Regional and Global Politics
In: International political science review: the journal of the International Political Science Association (IPSA) = Revue internationale de science politique, Band 24, Heft 1, S. 113-122
ISSN: 1460-373X
Structural change in Asia among India, China, and Pakistan has been intense and is directly associated with the instability that has resulted. As these governments move forward on their regional and global power cycles, what points of non-linearity (critical points) yet await the region and the larger system, and with what effect? The article calls for management of the foreign policy role such that comparative calm is sustained in the midst of structural change and uncertainty.
Missiles of China, Pakistan and India
In: Indian defence review, Band 9, Heft 4, S. 73-77
ISSN: 0970-2512
World Affairs Online