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Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks
In: Journal of Monetary Economics, Band 101, S. 31-46
Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators
In: Deutsche Bundesbank Discussion Paper No. 36/2019
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Working paper
Deflationary Financial Shocks and Inflationary Uncertainty Shocks: An SVAR Investigation
In: JEDC-D-23-00226
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Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Crisis Indicators
In: CESifo Working Paper No. 7839
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Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on Us Data
In: CESifo Working Paper No. 7697
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Deflationary Financial Shocks and Inflationary Uncertainty Shocks: An SVAR Investigation
In: ECB Working Paper No. 2022/;2727
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Uncertainty Shocks and Financial Regimes in Emerging Markets
In: EMEMAR-D-23-00155
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Yield Curve and Financial Uncertainty: Evidence Based on US Data
In: The Australian economic review, Band 52, Heft 3, S. 323-335
ISSN: 1467-8462
AbstractHow do short‐ and long‐term interest rates respond to a jump in financial uncertainty? We address this question by conducting a local projections analysis with US monthly data, period: 1962–2018. The state‐of‐the‐art financial uncertainty measure proposed by Ludvigson, Ma and Ng (2019) is found to predict movements in interest rates at different maturities. In particular, an increase in financial uncertainty is found to trigger a negative and significant response of both short‐ and long‐term interest rates. The response of the short end of the yield curve (i.e., of short‐term interest rates) is found to be stronger than that of the long end (i.e., of long‐term ones). In other words, a financial uncertainty shock causes a temporary steepening of the yield curve. This result is consistent, among other interpretations, with medium‐term expectations of a recovery in real activity after a financial uncertainty shock.
The Macroeconomic Impact of Financial and Uncertainty Shocks
In: NBER Working Paper No. w22058
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Uncertainty Shocks, Financial Frictions and Business Cycle Asymmetries Across Countries
In: EEREV-D-22-00383
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Financial Shocks in an Uncertain Economy
In: FRB of Dallas Working Paper No. 2308
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Uncertainty Shocks and Business Cycle Research
In: CEPR Discussion Paper No. DP14398
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Working paper