The Retreat of Globalization and the Transformation of World Economy
In: International affairs: a Russian journal of world politics, diplomacy and international relations, Band 55, Heft 5
ISSN: 0130-9641
The article analyzes the cycles leading to and emanating from the worlds current economic crisis. After which the author explores the various elements behind the emerging post-industrial, integral system and world civilization, and Joseph Schumpeter's notion creative destruction removing the obsolete industrial capitalist system. The article then explores the ideas of Nikolai Kondratiev from the economists fifth to sixth cycle reflected in Russian cyclism and civilizational and integral macro-forecasting; inevitably stating the current situation of the world. Upon this foundation the author then explains the forecasting process, rhythms, and dynamics regarding the economy, civilization, and technology. The article also examines the dynamics of globalization retreats and new transformation processes, examining various statistics and parameters, particularly geared towards the GDP trends. In concluding the article, the author offers his insight regarding the current state of the economy and notions of a model of humanist and noospherical globalization. Adapted from the source document.