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Cover -- Content -- Abstract -- I. Introduction -- II. Methodology -- A. Analytical Framework -- B. Caveats -- C. Parameterization -- D. Policy Scenarios -- III. Results -- A. BAU Scenarios -- B. Impacts of Carbon Taxes -- C. Comparison of Alternative Mitigation Policies -- D. Sensitivity Analysis -- E. Incidence Analyses -- IV. Conclusion -- V. References -- Tables -- 1. Paris Mitigation Pledges, Emissions Intensity and Emissions Per Capita, 2014 -- 2. Impacts of Other Policies Relative to Carbon Tax, 2030 -- 3. Sensitivity of CO2 Reductions from Paris Pledge and 70 Carbon Tax, 2030 -- Figures -- 1. Change in BAU CO2 Emissions, 2015-2030 -- 2. BAU Primary Fuel Mix, 2030 -- 3. Outdoor Air Pollution Death Rates from Fossil Fuels, 2030 -- 4. Percent Reduction in BAU CO2 Emissions Implied by Paris Pledge, 2030 -- 5. Reduction in CO2 Emissions from Carbon Taxes, 2030 -- 6. Revenue from Carbon Taxes, 2030 -- 7. Reductions in Air Pollution Deaths from Carbon Taxes, 2030 -- 8. Domestic Welfare Effect of Carbon Taxes, 2030 -- 9. Burden of 20 Carbon Tax on Household Consumption Quintiles, 2020 -- 10. Cost Increases from 20 Carbon Tax by Exporter Quintile, 2020 -- Appendixes -- Appendix 1. Analytical Model -- Appendix 2. Model Parametrization -- Appendix 3. Incidence Analysis -- Appendix Tables -- 1. Comparison of Future Fuel Price Assumptions -- 2. Comparison of Projected Fuel Use and CO2 with IEA (2017a).

Cover -- Content -- Abstract -- I. Introduction -- II. Efficient Pricing of Fossil Fuels -- III. Spreadsheet Model -- IV. Results -- V. Conclusion -- Tables -- 1. Paris Mitigation Pledges, Emissions Intensity, and Emissions Per Capita, G20 Countries, 2013 -- 2. Sensitivity Analysis -- 3. Cost Increases for Selected Industries and Selected Policies, 2020 -- Figures -- 1. Outdoor Air Pollution Mortality Rates and Pollution Concentrations, Selected Countries, 2010 -- 2. Current and Efficient Energy Prices in G20 Countries, 2013 -- 3. Energy Use and CO2: Baseline Scenario -- 4. Primary Energy by Product: Baseline Scenario (Percent) -- 5. Primary Energy by Product: Baseline Scenario -- 6. CO2 Reductions Under Alternative Policies, 2020 and 2030 (Percent) -- 7. Percent CO2 Reductions Under Alternative Policies by Product and Sector, 2020 (Percent) -- 8. Reductions in Pollution-Related Deaths from Fuel Use, 2020 and 2030 (Percent) -- 9. Pollution-Related Deaths Avoided, 2017-30 -- 10. Fiscal Gains, 2020 and 2030 (Percent of GDP) -- 11. Domestic Welfare Benefits and Costs, 2030 (Percent GDP) -- 12. Burden of Moderate Coal Tax on Household Consumption Deciles, 2020 (Percent of household consumption) -- 13. Burden of Selected Policies on Household Consumption Quintiles, 2020 (Percent of household consumption) -- 14. Cumulative Average Industry Cost Increase for Moderate Coal Tax, 2020 (Average percent increase in industry cost) -- Appendices -- 1. Equations of Spreadsheet Model -- 2. Model Parameterization -- References