The Corona Virus Disease (COVID-19) pandemic has increased mortality in countries worldwide. To evaluate the impact of the pandemic on mortality, the use of excess mortality rather than reported COVID-19 deaths has been suggested. Excess mortality, however, requires estimation of mortality under nonpandemic conditions. Although many methods exist to forecast mortality, they are either complex to apply, require many sources of information, ignore serial correlation, and/or are influenced by historical excess mortality. We propose a linear mixed model that is easy to apply, requires only historical mortality data, allows for serial correlation, and down-weighs the influence of historical excess mortality. Appropriateness of the linear mixed model is evaluated with fit statistics and forecasting accuracy measures for Belgium and the Netherlands. Unlike the commonly used 5-year weekly average, the linear mixed model is forecasting the year-specific mortality, and as a result improves the estimation of excess mortality for Belgium and the Netherlands. ; European Union's SC1- PHECORONAVIRUS-2020 program [101003688]
Supercabatteries have the characteristics of supercapacitors and batteries, namely high power and energy densities as well as long cycle life. To construct them, capacitor electrodes with wide potential windows and/or redox electrolytes are required. Herein, graphite@diamond nano-needles and an aqueous solution of Fe(CN)(6)(3-/4-) are utilized as the capacitor electrode and the electrolyte, respectively. This diamond capacitor electrode has a nitrogen-doped diamond core and a nano-graphitic shell. In 0.05 M Fe(CN)(6)(3-/4-) + 1.0 M Na2SO4 aqueous solution, the fabricated supercabattery has a capacitance of 66.65 mF cm(-2) at a scan rate of 10 mV s(-1). It is stable over 10 000 charge/discharge cycles. The symmetric supercabattery device assembled using a two-electrode system possesses energy and power densities of 10.40 W h kg(-1) and 6.96 kW kg(-1), respectively. These values are comparable to those of other energy storage devices. Therefore, diamond supercabatteries are promising for many industrial applications. ; S. Yu and K. J. Sankaran contributed equally to this work. N. Yang acknowledges funding from the German Science Foundation under the project of YA344/1-1. J. Verbeeck and S. Korneychuk acknowledge the funding from the GOA project "Solarpaint" of the University of Antwerp. The Qu-Ant-EM microscope was partly funded by the Hercules fund from the Flemish Government. K. J. Sankaran and K. Haenen like to acknowledge the financial support of the Methusalem "NANO" network. S. Yu likes to acknowledge the financial support from fundamental research funds for the central universities (Grant No. SWU019001).
Tin-based perovskites are promising alternative absorber materials for leadfree perovskite solar cells but need strategies to avoid fast tin (Sn) oxidation. Generally, this reaction can be slowed down by the addition of tin fluoride (SnF2) to the perovskite precursor solution, which also improves the perovskite layer morphology. Here, this work analyzes the spatial distribution of the additive within formamidinium tin triiodide (FASnI(3)) films deposited on top of poly(3,4-ethylenedioxythiophene):poly(styrenesulfonate) (PEDOT:PSS) hole transporting layers. Employing time-of-flight secondary ion mass spectrometry and a combination of hard and soft X-ray photoelectron spectroscopy, it is found that Sn F2 preferably accumulates at the PEDOT:PSS/perovskite interface, accompanied by the formation of an ultrathin SnS interlayer with an effective thickness of approximate to 1.2 nm. ; This project received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 research and innovation programme under grant agreement No. 850937 (PERCISTAND). H.-G.B. and D.D. are very grateful to the Research Foundation Flanders (FWO) for funding the HAXPES-lab instrument within the HERCULES program for Large Research Infrastructure of the Flemish government. P.S. thanks the French Agence Nationale de la Recherche for funding under the contract number ANR-17-MPGA-0012. This work was supported by the Federal Ministry for Economic Affairs and Energy (BMWi) Germany under the contract number 03EE1038A (CAPITANO) and financed by the Ministry of Science, Research and the Arts of Baden-Wurttemberg as part of the sustainability financing of the projects of the Excellence Initiative II (KSOP).
A robust and expedient gas quenching method is developed for the solution deposition of hybrid perovskite thin films. The method offers a reliable standard practice for the fabrication of a non-exhaustive variety of perovskites exhibiting excellent film morphology and commensurate high performance in both regular and inverted structured solar cell architectures. ; A.B. and M.T.K. contributed equally to this work. This work was financially supported by BOF (Hasselt University) and the Research Fund Flanders (FWO). B.C. is a postdoctoral research fellow of the FWO. A.B. was financially supported by Imec and FWO (grant V4.667.15N). M.T.K. acknowledges funding from the EPSRC project EP/M024881/1 "Organic-inorganic Perovskite Hybrid Tandem Solar Cells". S.B. is a VINNMER fellow and Marie Sklodowska-Curie fellow. J.V. and N.G. acknowledge funding from GOA project "Solarpaint" of the University of Antwerp and FWO project G.0044.13N "Charge ordering". The Qu-Ant-EM microscope used for this study was partly funded by the Hercules fund from the Flemish Government. N.G. acknowledges funding from the European Research Council under the 7th Framework Program (FP7), ERC Starting Grant 278510 VORTEX. The authors thank Johnny Baccus and Jan Mertens for technical support.
Background: COVID-19 mortality, excess mortality, deaths per million population (DPM), infection fatality ratio (IFR) and case fatality ratio (CFR) are reported and compared for many countries globally. These measures may appear objective, however, they should be interpreted with caution. Aim: We examined reported COVID-19-related mortality in Belgium from 9 March 2020 to 28 June 2020, placing it against the background of excess mortality and compared the DPM and IFR between countries and within subgroups. Methods: The relation between COVID-19-related mortality and excess mortality was evaluated by comparing COVID-19 mortality and the difference between observed and weekly average predictions of all-cause mortality. DPM were evaluated using demographic data of the Belgian population. The number of infections was estimated by a stochastic compartmental model. The IFR was estimated using a delay distribution between infection and death. Results: In the study period, 9,621 COVID-19-related deaths were reported, which is close to the excess mortality estimated using weekly averages (8,985 deaths). This translates to 837 DPM and an IFR of 1.5% in the general population. Both DPM and IFR increase with age and are substantially larger in the nursing home population. Discussion: During the first pandemic wave, Belgium had no discrepancy between COVID-19-related mortality and excess mortality. In light of this close agreement, it is useful to consider the DPM and IFR, which are both age, sex, and nursing home population-dependent. Comparison of COVID-19 mortality between countries should rather be based on excess mortality than on COVID-19-related mortality. ; The seroprevalence study of which the results are used in this manuscript has been sponsored by the University of Antwerp's Research Fund. This project has received funding from the European Union's Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Programma -Project EpiPose (No 101003688). SA, LW and NH gratefully acknowledge support from the Fonds voor Wetenschappelijk Onderzoek (FWO) (RESTORE project -G0G2920N and postdoctoral fellowships 1234620N). The investigators were independent from the funders.
