Capital Inflow Surges in Emerging Economies: How Worried Should Latin America and the Caribbean Be?
In: Economia: journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Band 15, Heft 2, S. 1-37
ISSN: 1533-6239
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In: Economia: journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Band 15, Heft 2, S. 1-37
ISSN: 1533-6239
In: IDB Working Paper No. IDB-WP-326
SSRN
Working paper
In: Economia: journal of the Latin American and Caribbean Economic Association, Band 18, Heft 2, S. 1-24
ISSN: 1533-6239
Inflation targeting has become popular in emerging economies. Eight countries in
Latin America adopted this regime and were successful in bringing inflation down.
However, continuing success depends on the credibility of the target. We interpret
credibility as how tightly inflation expectations are anchored and develop a methodology
to test the response to shocks. Inflation targets gained credibility over time, but when
inflation rises above target, credibility suffers. Moreover, at the end of the sample,
there is evidence of de-anchoring.
JEL Codes: E31, E52, E58
In: IDB Working Paper No. IDB-WP-504
SSRN
Working paper
In: IDB Working Paper No. IDB-WP-430
SSRN
Working paper