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Post-9/11 wartime intelligence analysis
In: Intelligence and national security, Band 33, Heft 7, S. 974-998
ISSN: 1743-9019
The role of external forces in Third World conflicts
In: Comparative strategy, Band 4, Heft 2, S. 79-111
ISSN: 0149-5933
World Affairs Online
The role of external forces in third world conflicts
In: Comparative strategy, Band 4, Heft 2, S. 79-111
ISSN: 1521-0448
Coercive Force and Military Strategy: Deterrence Logic and the Cost-Benefit Model of Counterinsurgency Warfare
In: The Western political quarterly, Band 32, Heft 4, S. 444-466
ISSN: 1938-274X
Coercive force and military strategy: Deterrence logic and the cost-benefit model of counterinsurgency warfare
In: The Western political quarterly: official journal of Western Political Science Association, Band 32, Heft 4, S. 444-466
ISSN: 0043-4078
World Affairs Online
The Limits of Terrorism in Insurgency Warfare: The Case of the Viet Cong
In: Polity, Band 11, Heft 1, S. 67-91
ISSN: 1744-1684
Breaking the Will of the Enemy During the Vietnam War: The Operationalizatin of the Cost-Benefit Model of Counterinsurgency Warfare
In: Journal of peace research, Band 15, Heft 2, S. 109-129
ISSN: 1460-3578
In the period following Diem's assassination, US policy-makers faced a rapidly deteriorating situation in South Vietnam. Events had demonstrated that the GVN was unable to achieve either political stability or military success. In the face of impending disaster, the US Administration opted for the cost-benefit or suppressive model of counterinsurgency warfare. Based on a set of principles that would later be explicated in Leites & Wolf's controversial study, Rebellion and Authority, this model proposed to defeat insurgent movements by modifying the behavior of the populace supporting the movement through various adversive and coercive techniques and measures of control. Basic to this model is the assumption that the populace, both individually and collectively, behave as rational actors. In other words, they 'calculate costs and benefits to the extent that they can be related to different courses of action, and make choices accordingly'. Given this assumption, the model argues that if force and coercion are applied in large enough doses the will of both the populace and insurgents will be broken and the war won. Costs will outweigh the benefits, resulting in the decline of the insurgency. In effect, this model constitutes a pure coercion approach towards defeating the insurgents. In Vietnam, operationalization of this model began early in 1965 and culminated in the shock of the 1968 Tet offensive. Specific goals to be achieved included: (1) destroying supply sources located in the DRV, as well as those enroute to the South via the Ho Chi Minh trail network; (2) breaking Hanoi's will by punishing North Vietnam to such an extent that the benefits sought would be incommensurate with the costs inflicted; and (3) applying force and coercion in the South against those backing the NLF to the degree that the insurgents would be denied peasant volunteers and draftees, foodstuffs donated to or confiscated by the NLF, intelligence and information supplied by the rural populace, and the day-to-day support offered by the populace. This study examines the strategy and its application in Vietnam and explains why, at both the theoretical/conceptual level and the operational level, it failed to achieve the goals specified. Source material relevant to the study that is utilized includes: official government and military documents and studies; the Rand materials concerned with counterinsurgency and the Rand Interviews in Vietnam project and reports based on these interviews; memoirs, books, articles, and speeches of those involved; and the vast body of literature concerned with US involvement in Vietnam.
Breaking the Will of the Enemy during the Vietnam War: The Operationalization of the Cost-Benefit Model of Counterinsurgency Warfare
In: Journal of peace research, Band 15, Heft 2, S. 109-129
ISSN: 0022-3433
US counterinsurgency policy in Vietnam between 1965 & 1968 is examined. Explanations are offered on both the theoretical/conceptual & operational levels for its failure to achieve military objectives. Based on a set of principles later explicated in N. Leites & C. Wolf's controversial study, Rebellion and Authority (Chicago: Markham, 1970), the model proposed to defeat insurgent movement through various adversive & coercive techniques & control measures. Basic to this model is the assumption that the populace, both individually & collectively, behave as rational actors. The model argues that if force & coercion are applied in large enough doses the will of both the populace & insurgents will be broken & the war won. To investigate the failure of this model, three issues are examined: (1) the soundness of the strategy's basic tenets; (2) the inability of the strategy to cut off exogenous inputs & break Hanoi's will; & (3) the failure to separate the NLF from its endogenous inputs in the South & destroy the insurgency system. Source material relevant to the study utilized include offical government documents & studies, the Rand materials concerned with counterinsurgency, & the Rand Interviews in Vietnam project & reports based on them, memoirs, books, articles & speeches of those involved, & the vast body of literature on the US involvement in Vietnam. Modified HA.
Transforming US intelligence for irregular war: Task Force 714 in Iraq
Introduction : Task Force 714 and the Iraq War -- Adapting Intelligence for Twenty-First-Century Irregular Warfare -- From Hierarchy to Networks : The Empowerment of Armed Groups -- Transforming Intelligence Collection for Irregular War -- Transforming Intelligence Analysis for Irregular War -- Transforming Covert Paramilitary Operations for Irregular War -- Task Force 714 and the Sources of Transformation -- Epilogue : More Irregular War and the Challenge of Revisionist State Powers.
Insurgents, terrorists, and militias: the warriors of contemporary combat ; [with a new introduction by the authors]
Introduction to the paperback edition: A new way forward -- War after the Cold War -- Assessing enemies -- Tribes and clans -- Somalia : death, disorder, and destruction -- Chechnya : Russia's bloody quagmire -- Afghanistan : a superpower conundrum -- Iraq : from dictatorship to democracy? -- When soldiers fight warriors : lessons learned for policymakers, military planners, and intelligence analysts
The Soviet Union and revolutionary warfare: principles, practices, and regional comparisons
In: Hoover Institution publications 371
World Affairs Online