The global emergency - Perspectives, overviews, responsesR
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 73, S. 78
ISSN: 0016-3287
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In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 73, S. 78
ISSN: 0016-3287
In: foresight, Band 16, Heft 6, S. 608-615
In: foresight, Band 16, Heft 6, S. 615-620
In: Foresight: the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy, Band 10, Heft 4, S. 4-27
ISSN: 1465-9832
PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to consider the view that America is "the land of the future". It argues that, owing to its sponsorship of a model of development that is exploitive and unsustainable, this is no longer the case and that US futurists, in particular, need to consciously re‐evaluate their roles and work.Design/methodology/approachThe paper advances a cultural critique of US hegemony. It considers background myths and their role in creating "American exceptionalism" in various fields, including futures studies. It also critiques free market ideology, the role of corporations, market failures and the economics of exploitation. This leads to issues of truth and power and the view that a continuation of an ideology of "free enterprise" leads to the collapse of the global system.FindingsThe paper suggests a number of strategies for futurists to consider as ways of opening out their vision beyond current limitations.Practical implicationsA rationale is outlined that can support shifts in more progressive directions and moves toward more fruitful work.Originality/valueThe American futures enterprise is currently at risk from its uncritical association with dysfunctions in US society, culture and economy. The paper draws attention to some of these and indicates possible ways forward.
In: Foresight: the journal of future studies, strategic thinking and policy, Band 16, Heft 6, S. 527-549
ISSN: 1465-9832
Purpose– The purposes of this paper are as follows. Part one examines the role of denialism in the context of proposals advanced through the much-abused Limits to Growth (LtG) project. Part two uses three sets of criteria (domains of reality, worldviews and values) to characterise some of the interior human and social aspects of the "denial machine." It uses these criteria to address some vital, but currently under-appreciated "interior" aspects of descent. (N.B. A succinct "primer" or overview of the concept and underpinning rationale for notions of "descent pathways" is provided in the introduction to this special issue.)Design/methodology/approach– The paper draws on a number of authoritative sources that track the dimensions of global change and, specifically, the ways that humanity is tracking towards Dystopian overshoot-and-collapse futures. The significance of the LtG project is assessed in this context. Part two employs the criteria noted above to identify and open out the centrality of the human and cultural interiors.Findings– Responses to the LtG project are shown to have deprived humanity of the clarity and will to respond effectively to the emerging global emergency. The rise of climate change denialism has followed suit and made effective responses increasingly difficult. A new focus, however, on some of the dynamics of reality domains, worldviews and values, clarifies both the nature of the problem and prefigures a range of solutions, some of which are briefly outlined.Research limitations/implications– This is primarily a conceptual paper that suggests a range of practical responses. For example, re-purposing parts of the current information technology (IT) infrastructure away from financial and economic indices to those tracking the health of the planet. Also translating the case put forward here for a new generation of Institutions of Foresight (IoFs) into real-world start-ups and examples. Further research is needed into the uses and limitations both of positive and negative views of futures. It is suggested that the latter have more value than is commonly realised.Practical implications– In addition to those stated above, the practical implications include new uses for IT infrastructure based on worldcentric – rather than financial and economic worldviews; designing and implementing a new generation of IoFs; and finding new ways to inform the public of impending Dystopian outcomes without exacerbating avoidance and depression.Social implications– The social implications are profound. Currently, humanity has allowed itself to "tune out" and ignore many of the well-founded "signals" (from the global system) and warnings (from those who have observed and tracked real-world changes). As a result, it has outgrown the capacity of the planet to support the current population, let alone the 10 billion currently projected by the United Nations (UN). Something must give. Applied foresight can provide essential lead time to act before human actions are overwhelmed by forces beyond its control.Originality/value– The paper draws together material from hitherto disparate sources to assess the LtG project. It also deploys key concepts from an integral perspective that shed new light on human and cultural forces that determine how people respond to the prospect of Dystopian futures. In so doing, it provides insight into why we are where we are and also into some of the means by which humanity can respond. Specifically, it suggests a shift from collapse narratives to those of descent.
In: Futures and Education
How can dystopian futures help provide the motivation to change the ways we operate day to day? Futures Beyond Dystopia takes the view that the dominant trends in the world suggest a long-term decline into unliveable Dystopian futures. The human prospect is therefore very challenging, yet the perception of dangers and dysfunctions is the first step towards dealing with them. The motivation to avoid future dangers is matched by the human need to create plans and move forward. These twin motivations can be very powerful and help to stimulate the fields of Futures Studies and Applied Foresight. This analysis of current Futures practice is split into six sections: * The Case Against Hegemony * Expanding and Deepening a Futures Frame * Futures Studies and the Integral Agenda * Social Learning through Applied Foresight * Strategies and Outlooks * The Dialectic of Foresight and Experience. This fascinating book will stimulate anyone involved in Futures work around the world and will challenge practitioners and others to re-examine many of their assumptions, methodologies and practices.
In this book, Richard Slaughter draws on the relatively new but rapidly developing field of futures studies to illustrate how our thinking must change in order to deal with the challenges presented by the new millennium. In doing so he brings together the latest work from some of the leading international names in futures thinking. Part One considers the foundations of futures thinking in history, literature and ideas. Part Two explores some of the ways that futures studies have been and are being applied in different educational contexts around the world, from pre-school to postgraduate level
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 161, S. 103377
ISSN: 1873-6378
In: Futures, Band 135, S. 102869
In: Futures: the journal of policy, planning and futures studies, Band 132, S. 102794
In: World futures review: a journal of strategic foresight, Band 12, Heft 1, S. 26-39
ISSN: 2169-2793
This article reflects on four decades of activity in the futures arena. Overall, it tracks a process of deepening insight and growing appreciation for the richness and complexity of life in all its myriad forms. Coupled with this is what I have come to regard as our inescapable responsibility for being active in ways that protect and nurture our natural and cultural heritage, both of which are under-sustained and ever-deepening threat. To do so, we need to recover a clear perception of how extreme and "abnormal" our present situation vis-à-vis Planet Earth really is. This entails removing the veils from our eyes, setting aside convenient fictions, and gaining the courage to face reality. This view can also be framed as "finding ways forward in impossible times." It is a kind of "sub-text" for the kind of Futures Studies I have pursued. Part 1 provides an overview of early influences and experiences. Part 2 summarizes some core learnings. Part 3 provides examples of the kinds of "depth appreciation" that I believe prefigure long-term solutions to the global emergency.
In: foresight, Band 20, Heft 4, S. 443-446
In: Futures, Band 100, S. 1-19
In: Futures, Band 98, S. 19-31