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Working paper
Entrando En Cintura: Implicaciones De Política Económica Sobre La Sosteniblidad De La Deuda Pública En La Zona Euro (Public Economy Implications About Public Public Debt Sustainability in the Euro Zone)
In: Documentos de trabajo Economía y Finanzas No 13-15
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The Roots of Export Diversification
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Co-Movements between Latin American and U.S. Stock Markets: Convergence after the Financial Crisis?
In: Center for Research in Economics and Finance (CIEF), Working Papers, No. 13-26
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Implicaciones De Bienestar En El Sector Residencial De La Unificación Tarifaria En El Servicio De Eléctricidad En El Departamento De Antioquia (Residency Sector Wealth Implications Due to Electricity Service Tariffs Unification in Antioquia)
In: Center for Research in Economics and Finance (CIEF), Working Papers, No. 08-07
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Solving the Puzzle: A New Measure of Trade Distance in the Gravity Equation
In: Documentos de trabajo Economía y Finanzas No 13-12
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La Transmisión De La Política Monetaria En Colombia: La Inversión (Monetary Policy Transmission in Colombia: Investment)
In: Center for Research in Economics and Finance (CIEF), Working Papers, No. 11-12
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The Impact of Subsidized Health Insurance on the Poor in Colombia: Evaluating the Case of Medellín
In: Center for Research in Economics and Finance (CIEF), Working Papers, No. 11-11
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Explaining Post-Cold-War Civil Conflict Among 17 Billion Models: The Importance of History and Religion
In: IZA Discussion Paper No. 13511
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Working paper
Explaining Post-Cold-War Civil Conflict among 17 Billion Models: The Importance of History and Religion
Model uncertainty remains a persistent concern when exploring the drivers of civil conflict and civil war. Considering a comprehensive set of 34 potential determinants in 175 post-Cold-War countries (covering 98.2% of the world population), we employ stochastic search variable selection (SSVS) to sort through all 234 possible models. Looking across both cross-sectional and panel data, three robust results emerge. First, past conflict constitutes the most powerful predictor of current conflict: path dependency matters. Second, larger shares of Jewish, Muslim, or Christian citizens are associated with increased chances of conflict incidence and onset - a result that is independent of religious fractionalization, polarization, and dominance. Third, economic and political factors remain less relevant than colonial origin and religion. These results lend credence to several existing schools of thought on civil conflict and provide new avenues for future research.
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Elasticidad De La Demanda Por Medicamentos En El Mercado Farmacéutico Privado En Colombia (The Elasticity of Drugs Demand in Colombia's Pharmaceutical Market)
In: Documentos de trabajo Economía y Finanzas No 12-26
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