The use of the ORANI model in the immigration debate
In: General paper 103
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In: General paper 103
In: The Australian economic review, Band 29, Heft 2, S. 171-188
ISSN: 1467-8462
AbstractThis article outlines the standard neoclassical model (SNM) of the impact of immigration on the incomes of the resident (pre‐immigration) population. We augment the SNM to allow for foreign ownership of and government equity in the capital stock. Using the expanded model, the sensitivity of residents' incomes to immigration is tested in four scenarios. Our calculations reveal that the size of the Berry‐Soligo welfare triangle is small and is dominated by the effects of foreign ownership of capital and government equity in capital. In our preferred long‐run scenario, the 1991–92 Australian immigrant intake reduced residents' incomes. We believe the results based on the expanded SNM justify a more comprehensive study incorporating a range of other influential factors determining the impact of immigration on residents' incomes. We suggest a list of such factors and report on work done in these specific areas. Essential to a comprehensive study are the integration of results from studies in specific areas, and the devotion of resources to the tasks of further data collection and model development
This paper presents the theoretical specification of the MONASH-MRF model. MONASH-MRF is a multiregional multisectoral model of the Australian economy. Included is a complete documentation of the model's equations, variables and coefficients. The documentation is designed to allow the reader to cross-reference the equation system presented in this paper in ordinary algebra, with the computer implementation of the model in the TABLO language presented in CoPS/IMPACT Preliminary Working Paper No. OP-82.
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