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AbstractMultiple regression analysis is used to test the existence of a link between the programmes of the Progressive Conservative, Liberal and New Democratic parties and subsequent government spending priorities. The analysis shows that the programme of the governing party is a poor predictor of government policies. Instead, public expenditures have been sensitive to changes in the programmes of opposition parties. The analysis also shows that government spending priorities in some important policy areas have been more sensitive to opposition party programmes when the popularity of these parties was rising. While public support has favoured the Liberals for most of the period of analysis, the fragile nature of this support has left the governing Liberals uncertain about their prospects of subsequent victory at the polls. This uncertainty has led the governing Liberals to compromise with the Progressive Conservatives on some issues and to mirror the proposals of the New Democratic party on other issues.

Analyzes links between platforms of the Progressive Conservative, Liberal, and New Democratic parties and subsequent government spending priorities in 12 budget categories; Canada.

This article reports an experimental use of Conflict and Cooperation ( C&C) in a large undergraduate class and evaluates the effect of using the program on student learning as compared with the next best conventional teaching method. Keywords: prisoner's dilemma, computer simulation, game theory, collective goods, cooperation.

Les Québécois seront bientôt appelés aux urnes pour élire leur prochain gouvernement. L'occasion est tout indiquée pour évaluer la performance du gouvernement sortant. Cet ouvrage constitue un outil accessible et clair pour ceux et celles qui souhaitent procéder à une évaluation objective basée sur l'analyse des faits observés plutôt que sur des clichés partisans. Vingt-huit universitaires et journalistes de renom ont mené l'enquête pour dresser un bilan rigoureux et impartial des réalisations de l'équipe libérale de Philippe Couillard. En dernière analyse, on constate un mandat libéral plutôt contrasté. A bien des égards, il prend l'allure tantôt d'un « mandat impératif » dans lequel le gouvernement s'évertue à respecter scrupuleusement ses 158 promesses électorales et tantôt d'un « mandat représentatif » en vertu duquel le gouvernement conserve sa latitude d'action et décide selon les valeurs libérales. Le contraste existe également entre une période marquée par la rigueur budgétaire, perçue plutôt comme de l'austérité dans l'opinion publique, et une autre période axée sur le réinvestissement et les annonces préélectorales. Ont collaboré à cet ouvrage Abdoulaye Anne, Antoine Baby-Bouchard, Félix Bélanger, Maude Benoit, Luc Bouthillier, Pauline Côté, Jean Crête, Jérôme Couture, Dominic Duval, Pierre Fortin, Thierry Giasson, Marie Grégoire, Steve Jacob, Guillaume Lamy, Florence Laroque, Eric Montigny, Mathieu Ouimet, Mireille Paquet, Stéphane Paquin, Pierre-Olivier Pineau, Véronique Prince, Antoine Robitaille, Thierry Rodon, Jean-Olivier Roy, Pernelle Smits, Geneviève Tellier, Sule Tomkinson, Samuel Veillette.

The theory of promissory representation (Mansbridge, 2003) proposes that voters select parties based on the pledges they made during the campaign. The elected parties then fulfill their promises and at the next election, voters reward or sanction the parties based on their pledge-fulfillment record. However, a fundamental assumption of promissory representation remains to be tested. If voters use party pledges to decide which party to vote for, they need to know which party made which pledges. To test the degree of awareness of citizens to party pledges (a factor we dub pledge awareness), we included a module in the 2019 Canadian Election Study (CES) that tasks citizens to associate correctly six pledges found in the different electoral platforms with their respective parties. We find that while citizens may not know all six pledges included in our study, nonetheless, the most frequently selected answers to our pledge awareness questions are the correct ones. We also find that party identification and the information resources at the disposal of citizens play a large role in the citizen's capacity to succeed at this matching task. Our study indicates that respondents tend to be more aware of the pledges made by the party they identify with, and well-informed respondents are more aware of pledges made by the other parties.

AbstractThe determinants of fulfilling campaign promises in Canada over the period 1994–2015 are analyzed in a comparative perspective. All other factors being equal, we find that promises to reduce government spending are more likely to be fulfilled by the Conservatives than by the Liberals. Majority and re-elected governments facing a budget surplus are more likely to fulfill their election promises than minority and newly elected governments facing a budget deficit. Promises are more likely to be fulfilled at the start than at the end of a mandate. We also find a small but noticeable increase in the rate of fulfilling campaign promises over time.

RésuméCet article introduit un nouveau dictionnaire permettant l'analyse automatisée du ton des médias francophones, que nous avons appelé Lexicoder Sentiment Dictionnaire Français (LSDFr) en référence au lexique anglophone de Young et Soroka (2012), Lexicoder Sentiment Dictionary (LSD) à partir duquel le LSDFr a été construit. Une fois construit, nous comparons le LSDFr au seul autre dictionnaire francophone existant de ce genre, Linguistic Inquiry and Word Count (LIWC). Nous testons ensuite la validité interne du LSDFr en le comparant avec un corpus de textes codés manuellement. Nous testons enfin la validité externe du LSDFr en mesurant jusqu'où le ton médiatique, calculé à l'aide de notre dictionnaire, prédit les intentions de vote des Québécois lors des quatre dernières campagnes électorales. En développant cet outil, notre objectif est de permettre à d'autres chercheurs d'effectuer des analyses médiatiques dans un corpus de textes comparables en français.