The yield curve as a predictor and emerging economies
In: Working paper series 691
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In: Working paper series 691
In: ECB Working Paper No. 1548
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Working paper
In: Occasional paper series 80
In: Working paper series 801
In: Working paper 560
In: Columbia Business School Research Paper No. 17-17
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In: NBER Working Paper No. w23124
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In: Journal of international economics, Band 103, S. 200-212
ISSN: 0022-1996
In: The Economic Journal, Band 124, Heft 581, S. 1343-1370
In: The economic journal: the journal of the Royal Economic Society
ISSN: 1468-0297, 0013-0133
World Affairs Online
In: ECB Working Paper No. 1392
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In: ECB Working Paper No. 973
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In: ECB Occasional Paper No. 80
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In: ECB Working Paper No. 801
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A powerful new understanding of global currency trends, including the rise of the Chinese yuan. At first glance, the modern history of the global economic system seems to support the long-held view that the leading world power's currency-the British pound, the U.S. dollar, and perhaps someday the Chinese yuan-invariably dominates international trade and finance. In How Global Currencies Work, three noted economists provide a reassessment of this history and the theories behind the conventional wisdom. Offering a new history of global finance over the past two centuries, and marshaling extensive new data to test established theories of how global currencies work, Barry Eichengreen, Arnaud Mehl, and Livia Chiţu argue for a new view, in which several national monies can share international currency status, and their importance can change rapidly. They demonstrate how changes in technology and in the structure of international trade and finance have reshaped the landscape of international currencies so that several international financial standards can coexist. They show that multiple international and reserve currencies have in fact coexisted in the pastupending the traditional view of the British pound's dominance prior to 1945 and the U.S. dollar's dominance more recently. Looking forward, the book tackles the implications of this new framework for major questions facing the future of the international monetary system, from whether the euro and the Chinese yuan might address their respective challenges and perhaps rival the dollar, to how increased currency competition might affect global financial stability