SOME STATISTICS ON BIGOTRY IN VOTING
In: Commentary, Band 30, Heft 4, S. 286-290
ISSN: 0010-2601
In spite of the fact that the religious issue seems to be of major interest to the pol'al analysts & to the churchmen, there is little evidence that it will be decisive for the voters themselves. It is possible to argue that Smith did as well or even better than one would have expected a Democrat to do in 1928, & that his religious affiliation may have been an asset at the polls. In 1928 the real issue was Prohibition. Smith advocated repeal & Hoover supported its retention. This is found in a detailed ecological study of the 1928 voting pattern by 2 sociol'ts, William Ogburn & Nell Talbot (Soc. Forces, Dec, 1929). 3 decades after Smith's defeat, the revived possibility of a Catholic nominee for President led the pollsters to investigate the connection between religious feeling & vote preference. In 1958, the Gallup Poll found that 34% of Protestants interviewed would not vote for a Catholic or a Jew: of the Jews interviewed, only 6% opposed the possibility of a Catholic President. When Catholics were asked whether they would change party lines to support a Catholic candidate. 52% said they might shift parties & 37% said they would not. The 2 major non-Protestant religious groups (26% Catholics & 4%, Jewish) of the Amer Electorate should therefore give 75 to 80% of their vote to a Catholic presidential candidate. Class background for Protestants is more important a factor in party allegiance than for Catholics & Jews. The majority of the Protestant workers are Democrats. The Mc Uc are preponderantly Republican. When entering the ballot box many Protestants are likely to find the idea of voting for a Republican more repugnant than voting for a Catholic. V. D. Sanu<.