Suchergebnisse

THIS ARTICLE CONSIDERS THE MULTICULTURALIST AND CULTURAL PLURALIST ATTAKCS ON THE CONCEPT OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA AS A SINGLE NATION. IT NOTES THAT THE MULTICULTURALISTS IN THEIR CHARACTERIZATION OF "MAINSTREAM AMERICAN CULTURE" AS "WHITE" OFTEN IGNORE THE BLACK, AND LATIN AMERICAN ELEMENTS OF THIS CULTURE. MOREOVER, THEIR EMPHASIS ON RACE AND CULTURE IGNORES THE MORE INSIDIOUS THREAT OF CLASS SEPARATION. THE AUTHOR SEES A POTENTIAL FUTURE IN WHICH THE UNITED STATES IS DIVIDED NOT ALONG RACIAL OR ETHNIC LINES BUT ALONG CLASS LINES. THE ONLY WAY TO AVOID THIS POTENTIAL "BRAZILIANIZATION OF AMERICA" IS A LIBERAL NATIONALIST "REVOLUTION" DESIGNED TO FOSTER ECONOMIC AS WELL AS RACIAL AND GENDER EQUALITY.

THE COLLAPSE OF INTELLECTUAL CONSERVATISM IN AMERICA HAS BEEN COMPLETE AND SWIFT. THE AUTHOR OF THIS ARTICLE BELIEVES THAT THE CONVENTIONAL EXPLANATIONS FOR THE DEMISE OF AMERICAN CONSERVATISM AS A SERIOUS INTELLECTUAL FORCE ARE WRONG. FOR EXAMPLE, IT IS A MISTAKE TO ATTRIBUTE THE DEATH OF INTELLECTUAL CONSERVATISM TO THE END OF THE COLD WAR. INSTEAD, THE DECLINE OF INTELLECTUAL CONSERVATISM HAS HAD LESS TO DO WITH GEOPOLITICS THAN WITH DOMESTIC POLITICS. IN ADDITION, THE DECLINE OF INTELLECTUAL CONSERVATISM CAN BE PARTLY ATTRIBUTTED TO THE FACT THAT CONSERVATIVE PUBLICATIONS ARE ADDICTED TO FOUNDATION MONEY WHICH HAS LED TO A LOWERING OF INTELLECTUAL STANDARDS. THE AUTHOR OF THIS ARTICLE ALSO BELIEVES THAT A SERIOUS REVIVAL OF THOUGHT ON THE POLITICAL RIGHT IS UNLIKELY FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER GENERATION.

THIS ARTICLE EXPLORES THREE LESSONS WHICH IT THEN GOES ON TO DEFINE AS MYTHS OF NINETEENTH AND TWENTIESTH-CENTURY U.S. FOREIGN POLICY. THESE LESSONS ARE 1) THE LESSON OF AMERICAN DEVELOPMENT, 2) THE LESSON OF THE PAX BRITANNICA, AND 3) THE LESSON OF SMOOT-HAWLEY. AFTER EXPLORING EACH OF THESE AREAS, IT CONCLUDES THAT LEARNING FROM HISTORY IS DANGEROUS WHEN THE LESSONS THAT ARE LEARNED ARE WRONG.

A CATALYTIC STATE IS ONE THAT SEEKS ITS GOALS LESS BY RELYING ON ITS OWN RESOURCES THAN BY ACTING AS A DOMINANT ELEMENT IN COALITIONS OF OTHER STATES, TRANSNATIONAL INSTITUTIONS, AND PRIVATE SECTOR GROUPS, WHILE RETAINING ITS DISTINCT INDENTITY AND ITS OWN GOALS. THE GOALS OF THE STATE REMAIN THE SAME--LEGITIMACY, PROSPERITY AND SECURITY. THIS ARTICLE REVIEWS THE MODERN STATE FROM SUZERAIN TO INTEGRAL STATE, GLOBAL TRENDS, THE RESURGENC OF SOCIETY, AND THE REINVENTION OF THE STATE. THE BIG QUESTION IS: CAN AMERICA ADAPT?

FOUR PRIMARY INTERESTS HAVE GUIDED AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY SINCE THE FOUNDING OF THE REPUBLIC: PRESERVING THE INTEGRITY OF THE AMERICAN NATION FROM SECESSIONIST MOVEMENTS AND CULTURAL DISINTEGRATION; SECURING CONTROL OVER THE NATIONAL FRONTIER; PROTECTING THE CONTINENTAL SECURITY OF NORTH AMERICA; AND SECURING ACCESS TO MARKETS AND RESOURCES AROUND THE GLOBE. THESE INTERESTS HAVE BEEN OBSCURED DURING THE PAST HALF-CENTURY BECAUSE AMERICAN FOREIGN POLICY HAS BEEN DEFINED IN TERMS OF SPECIFIC ENEMIES: NAZI GERMANY, IMPERIAL JAPAN, THE SOVIET UNION, AND SADDAM HUSSEIN'S IRAQ. DURING THE COMING DECADES, THE USA MAY NOT FACE ANY SUCH ARCH-ENEMIES, BUT THE PERMANENT INTERESTS OF THE UNITED STATES WILL ENDURE. IN THE ABSENCE OF A SINGLE OVERRIDING THREAT, THESE PERMANENT CONCERNS CAN AND SHOULD SUPPLY THE BASIS FOR A VIGOROUS FOREIGN POLICY.

Looks behind the media coverage of youth violence in Hawaii and exposes the myth that coverage is linked to increased crime. Finds, rather, that even when the rate of youth violence declined, coverage of crime rose to fever pitch.

THE AUTHORS ENDEAVOR TO DEFINE U.S. INTERESTS IN THE STATES THAT FORMERLY MADE UP YUGOSLAVIA AND TO SPECIFY WHAT U.S. POLICY SHOULD BE TOWARD THE NEW BALKAN STATES.

The "common sense" intervention by toxicology journal editors regarding proposed European Union endocrine disrupter regulations ignores scientific evidence and well-established principles of chemical risk assessment. In this commentary, endocrine disrupter experts express their concerns about a recently published, and is in our considered opinion inaccurate and factually incorrect, editorial that has appeared in several journals in toxicology. Some of the shortcomings of the editorial are discussed in detail. We call for a better founded scientific debate which may help to overcome a polarisation of views detrimental to reaching a consensus about scientific foundations for endocrine disrupter regulation in the EU. © 2013 Bergman et al.; licensee BioMed Central Ltd.

Background Established in 2000, Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4) catalysed extraordinary political, fi nancial, and social commitments to reduce under-5 mortality by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015. At the country level, the pace of progress in improving child survival has varied markedly, highlighting a crucial need to further examine potential drivers of accelerated or slowed decreases in child mortality. The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study (GBD 2015) provides an analytical framework to comprehensively assess these trends for under-5 mortality, age-specifi c and cause-specifi c mortality among children under 5 years, and stillbirths by geography over time. Methods Drawing from analytical approaches developed and refi ned in previous iterations of the GBD study, we generated updated estimates of child mortality by age group (neonatal, post-neonatal, ages 1–4 years, and under 5) for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational geographies, from 1980–2015. We also estimated numbers and rates of stillbirths for these geographies and years. Gaussian process regression with data source adjustments for sampling and non-sampling bias was applied to synthesise input data for under-5 mortality for each geography. Age-specifi c mortality estimates were generated through a two-stage age–sex splitting process, and stillbirth estimates were produced with a mixed-eff ects model, which accounted for variable stillbirth defi nitions and data source-specifi c biases. For GBD 2015, we did a series of novel analyses to systematically quantify the drivers of trends in child mortality across geographies. First, we assessed observed and expected levels and annualised rates of decrease for under-5 mortality and stillbirths as they related to the Soci-demographic Index (SDI). Second, we examined the ratio of recorded and expected levels of child mortality, on the basis of SDI, across geographies, as well as diff erences in recorded and expected annualised rates of change for under-5 mortality. Third, we analysed levels and cause compositions of under-5 mortality, across time and geographies, as they related to rising SDI. Finally, we decomposed the changes in under-5 mortality to changes in SDI at the global level, as well as changes in leading causes of under-5 deaths for countries and territories. We documented each step of the GBD 2015 child mortality estimation process, as well as data sources, in accordance with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). Findings Globally, 5·8 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 5·7–6·0) children younger than 5 years died in 2015, representing a 52·0% (95% UI 50·7–53·3) decrease in the number of under-5 deaths since 1990. Neonatal deaths and stillbirths fell at a slower pace since 1990, decreasing by 42·4% (41·3–43·6) to 2·6 million (2·6–2·7) neonatal deaths and 47·0% (35·1–57·0) to 2·1 million (1·8-2·5) stillbirths in 2015. Between 1990 and 2015, global under-5 mortality decreased at an annualised rate of decrease of 3·0% (2·6–3·3), falling short of the 4·4% annualised rate of decrease required to achieve MDG4. During this time, 58 countries met or exceeded the pace of progress required to meet MDG4. Between 2000, the year MDG4 was formally enacted, and 2015, 28 additional countries that did not achieve the 4·4% rate of decrease from 1990 met the MDG4 pace of decrease. However, absolute levels of under-5 mortality remained high in many countries, with 11 countries still recording rates exceeding 100 per 1000 livebirths in 2015. Marked decreases in under-5 deaths due to a number of communicable diseases, including lower respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, measles, and malaria, accounted for much of the progress in lowering overall under-5 mortality in low-income countries. Compared with gains achieved for infectious diseases and nutritional defi ciencies, the persisting toll of neonatal conditions and congenital anomalies on child survival became evident, especially in low-income and low-middle-income countries. We found sizeable heterogeneities in comparing observed and expected rates of under-5 mortality, as well as diff erences in observed and expected rates of change for under-5 mortality. At the global level, we recorded a divergence in observed and expected levels of under-5 mortality starting in 2000, with the observed trend falling much faster than what was expected based on SDI through 2015. Between 2000 and 2015, the world recorded 10·3 million fewer under-5 deaths than expected on the basis of improving SDI alone. Interpretation Gains in child survival have been large, widespread, and in many places in the world, faster than what was anticipated based on improving levels of development. Yet some countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, still had high rates of under-5 mortality in 2015. Unless these countries are able to accelerate reductions in child deaths at an extraordinary pace, their achievement of proposed SDG targets is unlikely. Improving the evidence base on drivers that might hasten the pace of progress for child survival, ranging from cost-eff ective intervention packages to innovative fi nancing mechanisms, is vital to charting the pathways for ultimately ending preventable child deaths by 2030.

Background Established in 2000, Millennium Development Goal 4 (MDG4) catalysed extraordinary political, fi nancial, and social commitments to reduce under-5 mortality by two-thirds between 1990 and 2015. At the country level, the pace of progress in improving child survival has varied markedly, highlighting a crucial need to further examine potential drivers of accelerated or slowed decreases in child mortality. The Global Burden of Disease 2015 Study (GBD 2015) provides an analytical framework to comprehensively assess these trends for under-5 mortality, age-specifi c and cause-specifi c mortality among children under 5 years, and stillbirths by geography over time. Methods Drawing from analytical approaches developed and refi ned in previous iterations of the GBD study, we generated updated estimates of child mortality by age group (neonatal, post-neonatal, ages 1–4 years, and under 5) for 195 countries and territories and selected subnational geographies, from 1980–2015. We also estimated numbers and rates of stillbirths for these geographies and years. Gaussian process regression with data source adjustments for sampling and non-sampling bias was applied to synthesise input data for under-5 mortality for each geography. Age-specifi c mortality estimates were generated through a two-stage age–sex splitting process, and stillbirth estimates were produced with a mixed-eff ects model, which accounted for variable stillbirth defi nitions and data source-specifi c biases. For GBD 2015, we did a series of novel analyses to systematically quantify the drivers of trends in child mortality across geographies. First, we assessed observed and expected levels and annualised rates of decrease for under-5 mortality and stillbirths as they related to the Soci-demographic Index (SDI). Second, we examined the ratio of recorded and expected levels of child mortality, on the basis of SDI, across geographies, as well as diff erences in recorded and expected annualised rates of change for under-5 mortality. Third, we analysed levels and cause compositions of under-5 mortality, across time and geographies, as they related to rising SDI. Finally, we decomposed the changes in under-5 mortality to changes in SDI at the global level, as well as changes in leading causes of under-5 deaths for countries and territories. We documented each step of the GBD 2015 child mortality estimation process, as well as data sources, in accordance with the Guidelines for Accurate and Transparent Health Estimates Reporting (GATHER). Findings Globally, 5·8 million (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 5·7–6·0) children younger than 5 years died in 2015, representing a 52·0% (95% UI 50·7–53·3) decrease in the number of under-5 deaths since 1990. Neonatal deaths and stillbirths fell at a slower pace since 1990, decreasing by 42·4% (41·3–43·6) to 2·6 million (2·6–2·7) neonatal deaths and 47·0% (35·1–57·0) to 2·1 million (1·8-2·5) stillbirths in 2015. Between 1990 and 2015, global under-5 mortality decreased at an annualised rate of decrease of 3·0% (2·6–3·3), falling short of the 4·4% annualised rate of decrease required to achieve MDG4. During this time, 58 countries met or exceeded the pace of progress required to meet MDG4. Between 2000, the year MDG4 was formally enacted, and 2015, 28 additional countries that did not achieve the 4·4% rate of decrease from 1990 met the MDG4 pace of decrease. However, absolute levels of under-5 mortality remained high in many countries, with 11 countries still recording rates exceeding 100 per 1000 livebirths in 2015. Marked decreases in under-5 deaths due to a number of communicable diseases, including lower respiratory infections, diarrhoeal diseases, measles, and malaria, accounted for much of the progress in lowering overall under-5 mortality in low-income countries. Compared with gains achieved for infectious diseases and nutritional defi ciencies, the persisting toll of neonatal conditions and congenital anomalies on child survival became evident, especially in low-income and low-middle-income countries. We found sizeable heterogeneities in comparing observed and expected rates of under-5 mortality, as well as diff erences in observed and expected rates of change for under-5 mortality. At the global level, we recorded a divergence in observed and expected levels of under-5 mortality starting in 2000, with the observed trend falling much faster than what was expected based on SDI through 2015. Between 2000 and 2015, the world recorded 10·3 million fewer under-5 deaths than expected on the basis of improving SDI alone. Interpretation Gains in child survival have been large, widespread, and in many places in the world, faster than what was anticipated based on improving levels of development. Yet some countries, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, still had high rates of under-5 mortality in 2015. Unless these countries are able to accelerate reductions in child deaths at an extraordinary pace, their achievement of proposed SDG targets is unlikely. Improving the evidence base on drivers that might hasten the pace of progress for child survival, ranging from cost-eff ective intervention packages to innovative fi nancing mechanisms, is vital to charting the pathways for ultimately ending preventable child deaths by 2030.