Suchergebnisse

AbstractThis paper revisits the question of whether the finance–growth nexus varies with the stages of economic development. Using a novel threshold regression with the instrumental variables approach proposed by Caner and Hansen (2004) to the dataset used in Levine et al. (2000) we detect overwhelming evidence in support of a positive linkage between financial development and economic growth, and this positive effect is larger in the low‐income countries than in the high‐income ones. The data also reveal that financial development tends to have stronger impacts on capital accumulation and productivity growth in the low‐income countries than in the high‐income ones. The findings are robust to alternative financial development measures and conditioning information sets.

AbstractSaving is a main source of financing capital and R&D investment, which can facilitate economic growth and development. Saving also acts as a buffer against uncertainty and external shocks, which can smooth growth volatility and promote economic growth. Thus understanding the determination of saving is vital for policymaking. This paper evaluates the saving consequence of population aging in China, a fast growing economy that has been experiencing rapid population aging with high saving rates. However, whether and how population aging affects saving remains controversial. Instead of verifying whether population aging increases or decreases saving, this paper takes a step further to examine potential nonlinearity in the nexus, which allows one to address the reason for inconclusiveness. Using China's provincial data over the period 1989–2019, it indeed finds significant existence of nonlinearity. Household saving follows an inverted‐U process with population aging. The effect holds for regions with moderate saving rates. For regions with the least and highest saving rates, household saving follows a U‐shaped process. Similar results are found for total saving.