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"Manufacturing jobs, once the backbone of the modern US economy, have declined over recent decades, darkening opportunities for middle-class advancement. The same trend has occurred in many countries, from Europe to Japan, China, and South Korea. To return manufacturing employment to its former glory, many countries have adopted import barriers and "industrial policies." For the most part, those approaches have been misguided. In this book, Robert Z. Lawrence demonstrates that deeply rooted structural forces have produced the decline in manufacturing jobs, and these forces are not likely to be reversed. He analyzes the effects of trade, technological change, production efficiencies, and consumer spending patterns on manufacturing employment, showing that efforts by the United States and other countries will not return manufacturing jobs to past levels. Lawrence traces the historic role played by manufacturing in US growth and income distribution, but he argues that current trends-increased self-sufficiency, "green" growth, and advanced digital technologies-may make future growth less inclusive. New policies are needed to encourage more equitable sharing of the fruits of technological advancement among people, places, and countries."

Intro -- Contents -- Preface -- Acknowledgments -- Chapter 1 Introduction -- Distinctions and Qualifications -- Plan of the Study -- Chapter 2 The Wage-Productivity Gap, 1981-2006 -- Measurement Adjustments -- Role of Wage Inequality -- Rise in Skills of Non-Blue-Collar Workers -- Profits and Top Wage Earners -- Conclusion -- Chapter 3 Wage Inequality and Trade -- Trade Theory -- Timing of Wage Inequality -- Correlations Between Relative Wages and Prices -- Controlling for Other Causes -- Paradox of Recent Wage Behavior -- What Do the Data Tell Us? -- Chapter 4 Class Inequality and Trade -- Chapter 5 Globalization, Stock Options, and the Super Rich -- Top Executives -- Why Has the Top Done So Well? -- Other Top Earners -- Chapter 6 Job Dislocation: Past and Future -- New Concerns about Job Dislocation from Global Engagement -- Are Borders Irrelevant? -- Chapter 7 Conclusion -- Appendix A -- References -- Index.

The world economy has undergone miraculous changes in the last decade, particularly in developing and former communist countries. Privatization and trade liberalization have replaced the protectionist and statist policies that were deeply entrenched in these areas just ten years ago. Today, these dynamic emerging markets offer attractive opportunities. According to Robert Lawrence, liberal international trade and investment should provide significant opportunities for gains in developing and developed nations alike. But will the developed countries be allowed to keep their markets open and absorb exports from developing countries? Many in the U.S. and Europe blame international trade for unemployment and wage inequality. But what is the real relationship? Lawrence contends that while trade has played some role in reducing the wages of poorly educated workers in the U.S. and in raising the unemployment of unskilled workers in Europe, its impact has been small compared with other causes of these changes. Lawrence examines the role of trade in developed and developing countries and its impact on labor markets and wage inequality, and discusses what he considers the more important effects of technological and organizational change. He begins by focusing on U.S. wage behavior, then moves to wage behavior in the OECD countries. Lawrence concludes that the impact of globalization on OECD labor markets has been far less damaging than many have argued and, indeed, that international trade enhances national welfare. He presents considerable evidence that the sources of poor labor market performance are essentially domestic--they reflect ongoing technological and organizational shocks that would be present even if the economy was closed. This evidence suggests that international differences in wage rates and labor standards are not major factors in OECD

Over the past decade, international economic liberalization has been pursued through both multilateral and regional arrangements. In the Uruguay Round, more than one hundred governments pledged their commitment to greater open trade in goods and services, and established new rules under the enforcement of the World Trade Organization. At the same time, however, many regional arrangements have been negotiated--including the European Union and the North American Free Trade Agreement. Nonetheless, controversy still rages about these arrangements. Are regional arrangements stumbling blocks or, in fact building blocks for a more integrated and successful international economy? In this book, Robert A. Lawrence addresses this question and explains both sides of the debate. A volume of Brookings' Integrating National Economies Series.

An examination of the performance of U.S. manufacturing in historical and global perspective indicates that, contrary to recent fears, international trade competition has not induced the deindustrialization of America. During the 1970s the U.S. manufacturing sector fared relatively well compared to its counterparts in other industrual countries and its own post-war track record. Most of its problems in the early 1980s are linked to domestic recession and the strong U.S. dollar. A number of implicit assumptions in the current discussion about U.S. industrial performance are shown in this book t