Methode zur Gestaltung der energetischen Wandlungsfähigkeit in Fabriken
The exit from nuclear and fossil-fuel energy and the turbulent developments in the technology sector are increasingly influencing the factory's energy system. Its design can no longer be based on a quasi-constant environment. The short decision-making cycles of politics as well as the rapid development cycles of technologies demand an energy system which has a corresponding agility so that the factory can be operated economically in the future in the field of energy. This initial situation leads to the research question of how an agile energy supply system can be designed in factories. An answer to this question is provided by the method for designing energy-agile energy supply systems in factories. The method is based on the basic concepts of agility of factories and transfers these approaches to the energy supply system. The interdependencies between the energy supply, the used production technology and the products are being discussed with respect to the agility drivers and the agility enabling actions. The method is divided into five steps. In the first step, the direct and indirect agility drivers are analysed. This analysis involves the characterization and evaluation of the agility drivers from the individual factory perspective. In addition to a prioritization of the agility drivers, a definition of conversion limits and their probability distribution is required. In the following step, agility enabling options are derived. These options for action are generally formulated and assessed on the basis of the agility criteria. A comparison of individual agility driver assessments and possible agility enabling options creates a package of measures from a company perspective, which will be assessed below. The third step of the method involves modelling. An agent-based modelling approach is developed that allows the energy system to be mapped generically. Individual, special control algorithms, for example for storage control, can be added as needed. With the help of Monte Carlo simulation, in the fourth step, the evaluation variables are determined as a function of agility drivers and agility enabling options, taking uncertainties into account. The subsequent regression analysis allows to determine the advantage of an agility enabling action. In the final step of the method, conclusions can be drawn as to when and to what extent agility enabling options should be used.