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Cover; Half Title; Title Page; Copyright Page; Table of Contents; List of Figures; List of Tables; Symbols; Preface; 1: Introduction; 1.1 Examples of risk models for disease incidence; 1.1.1 Breast cancer incidence; 1.1.1.1 A brief survey of models; 1.1.1.2 The National Cancer Institute's (NCI's) Breast Cancer Risk Assessment Tool, BCRAT; 1.1.2 Other models of cancer incidence; 1.1.3 Framingham Model for incidence of coronary heart disease; 1.2 Applications of risk models for disease incidence; 1.3 Prognosis after disease diagnosis; 1.4 Contents of book.