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This paper tests both the short and long term relationship between the real GDP, the equity amounts outstanding, the corporate bond amounts outstanding and bank credit to the private sector for five emerging markets. In particular, the finance-growth nexus is analysed with data collected from China, Indonesia, the Philippines, South Korea and Thailand between 1994 and 2009 using panel VECM analysis. The cointegration technique is then used to examine the long run behavior based on the assumption that all the variables involved have the same degree of integration and the error correction model (ECM) and the Wald test are employed to determine the direction of causality. The empirical results suggest the existence of a stable relationship in the direction from economic growth to financial market development that is consistent with the information asymmetry arguments for emerging markets. The findings have implications for financial and economic policy makers and enable these stakeholders to determine which sectors should be encouraged to achieve overall economic growth and development. The results are also useful to investors as they show the level of the intensity of information asymmetry on which these relationships might vary in both the short and long run.

AbstractThe COVID-19 pandemic, an unprecedented global health crisis, rapidly transferred into a global economic and social crisis. The pandemic has threatened the world's commitment to achieve Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) by 2030 as governments in developing countries have shifted their priorities from attaining SDGs, to providing urgent financial needs to save lives and prevent recession in hopes for a rapid economic recovery. The rerouting of public funding priorities has undermined the progress and achievement of SDGs. We employed a mixed-method and carried out a comparative study using pre- and post-public financial data of two developing countries in South Asia; Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. A threefold analysis was conducted to investigate the evolution of the COVID-19 pandemic in two countries, the impact of the pandemic on external and internal public finance and the effect of the pandemic in shifting the policy priorities from SDGs to economic survival. This study found that both countries are highly vulnerable to the COVID-19 pandemic and are suffering from the lack of financing from external sources through the private sector as well as an increasing foreign debt. There is mounting pressure on the fiscal balance in both countries.