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A neuroimaging study of preference for strategic uncertainty
In: Journal of risk and uncertainty, Band 50, Heft 3, S. 209-227
ISSN: 1573-0476
The comonotonic sure-thing principle
In: Journal of risk and uncertainty, Band 12, Heft 1, S. 5-27
ISSN: 1573-0476
Hope: An empirical study of attitude toward the timing of uncertainty resolution
In: Journal of risk and uncertainty, Band 8, Heft 3, S. 267-288
ISSN: 1573-0476
Source Recursive Expected Utility on Rich Mixture Sets
SSRN
Adversity-hope hypothesis: Air pollution raises lottery demand in China
In: Journal of risk and uncertainty, Band 62, Heft 3, S. 247-280
ISSN: 1573-0476
AbstractThe empirical literature points to a stylized phenomenon of increased demand for hope following adversity. Clotfelter and Cook (1989) suggest that hope is a key sentiment underpinning recreational gambling. Chew and Ho (1994, this journal) offer the view of hope being experienced in lottery products when people enjoy delaying the resolution of uncertainty. Taking air quality as an indicator of subjective well-being, we hypothesize a positive causal relationship between air pollution and lottery sales. We test this hypothesis using data from China and find that air pollution measured by particle concentration increases demand for a popular lottery for which province-level daily sales records exist. The relationship can readily be seen on combining high-frequency, spatially resolved lottery sales and particle pollution data. Our findings support the adversity-hope hypothesis in the context of air quality and lottery sales and point to further tests using other measures of adversity and proxies of demand for hope.
A Colorful Mind
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Motivated False Memory
In: Journal of political economy, Band 128, Heft 10, S. 3913-3939
ISSN: 1537-534X
Motivated False Memory
In: Journal of Political Economy, 128(10), 3913-3939
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Does Haze Cloud Decision Making? A Natural Laboratory Experiment
In: Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 182, 132-161
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Partial Ambiguity
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Working paper
A Parsimonious Theory of Subjective Probability
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You Need to Recognise Ambiguity to Avoid It
In: The economic journal: the journal of the Royal Economic Society, Band 128, Heft 614, S. 2480-2506
ISSN: 1468-0297
You Need to Recognize Ambiguity to Avoid it
In: Vanderbilt Owen Graduate School of Management Research Paper No. 2340543
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Working paper