Divided Senate Delegation Indicator of Realignment
In: PS: political science & politics, Band 40, Heft 2, S. 221-221
In a research note written in 2005 and subsequently rejected by three
leading political science journals as too speculative and not adequately
statistically anchored, we sought to update Brunell and Grofman's
1998 research note in the APSR on
divided Senate delegation by showing that we were right in predicting
that, in the Senate election years taking place immediately after our
original data analyses, the number of states with divided Senate
delegations would continue to decline. It did: from 19 states in 1996 to
18 in 1998, way down to 13 in 2000 and remaining at that level until the
most recent election in 2006. However, at the end of our 2005 paper we
also say: "Unlike Brunell and Grofman (1998), though, we are not prepared to predict further
decreases in the number of divided Senate delegations."