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Cover -- Title Page -- Copyright -- Contents -- Preface -- Figures -- Summary -- Acknowledgments -- CHAPTER ONE Introduction -- Who Are North Korea's Elites? -- Methodology -- Report Outline -- CHAPTER TWO What Will North Korean Elites Likely Want? -- Conditions in North Korea -- Why Are the Expectations of the Senior Elites an Issue? -- What Would North Korean Elites Want from Korean Unification? -- Individual Safety and Security -- Individual Position -- Wealth -- Family Safety and Position -- Doing Something Important -- Likely Anxieties Among North Korean Elites -- Putting Needed Policies in Place -- Developing New Policies -- Communicating These Policies -- CHAPTER THREE North Korean People's Army Generals and North Korean Physicians -- Their Current Conditions -- NKPA Generals -- North Korean Physicians -- Potential Reactions to Unification -- Specific Policies and Actions for Generals and Physicians -- NKPA Generals -- North Korean Physicians -- CHAPTER FOUR Planning Across Scenarios -- Unification as the Result of Conflict -- Peaceful Unification -- Conditions Appear Ripe to Prepare for Unification -- References

In North Korea, the upcoming leadership transition in the Kim Jong-il regime will be a precarious time for the Kim family's hold on power. A collapse of the North Korean government could have several dangerous implications for East Asia, including "loose nukes," a humanitarian disaster, a regional refugee crisis, and potential escalation to war between China and the United States. To respond to a collapse and these problems, neighboring countries may perform several military missions to stabilize North Korea. These include the location and securing of North Korean weapons of mass destruction, stability operations, border control, conventional disarmament, and combat/deterrence operations. Assuming that collapse occurs in a relatively benign manner, military missions to stabilize North Korea could require 260,000 to 400,000 troops. If collapse occurs after a war on the peninsula, or if it sparks civil war in North Korea, the number of missions—and their requirements—would grow. Because of the size and complexity of these missions, and because of the perils associated with mismanaging them, advance and combined planning is essential. Combined planning should include those actors (e.g., China, South Korea, and the United States) that could otherwise take destabilizing action to protect their own interests.