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It's time to return to realism in US national security policy, putting hard power considerations and geopolitics front and center.

Washington should prioritize its defense cooperation with member states that are doing the most to bolster their own defenses, especially the Northeast corridor allies.

Russia has launched its third major mobilization wave, which could result in battlefield gains right as NATO meets in Washington on July 9-11.

The overarching lesson from the unfolding war in Ukraine is simply the scale of what's required to fight a modern state-on-state war.

The Russian Federation's full-scale invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, brought war to the North Atlantic Alliance's doorstep—altering the political-military dynamics between NATO and its neighbor to the east. Since the Russian invasion, NATO has been undergoing a dramatic change that has impacted its plans, command structure, Force Model, and capabilities requirements. The effectiveness of this change must be gauged against the adversary's ability to field its forces and resource them in a way that negatively impacts the Supreme Allied Commander Europe's ability to execute the new regional plans. The delta between how quickly Russia can rebuild its military and how quickly NATO can rearm, especially the European allies, will define the risk level for the Alliance should deterrence fail. A credible assessment of the speed with which Russia can reconstitute and expand its military—especially its land forces component, which has been significantly attritted during the current campaign in Ukraine—is crucial to accurately assessing NATO's overall force posture and ability to respond should Russia choose to attack a member of the Alliance. Here, the expertise and assessments of the United States' allies most exposed to the Russian threat along the eastern flank offer valuable insights from the frontline, augmented by their regional expertise and understanding of Russian culture, politics, and military infused with centuries of experience of living next door to Russia.

The United States and its allies must leverage generative artificial intelligence to outcompete strategic rivals.

The geostrategic reconfiguration of North and Central Europe -- The linchpin: Germany and Poland -- The northern boundary: Scandinavia -- The northeastern littoral: Russia and the Baltic states -- American policy toward North and Central Europe before and after September 11, 2001