Predicting returns in U.S. financial sector indices
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 19, Heft 3, S. 351-367
ISSN: 0169-2070
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In: International journal of forecasting, Band 19, Heft 3, S. 351-367
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: HELIYON-D-23-16854
SSRN
Increased population pressure and political decisions have led to more intensive agricultural practices in China. As in other regions of the world, these practices can damage natural capital We use the Kalman filter and Chinese panel data to estimate an index of environmental productivity (natural capital), together with the parameters of environmental dynamics and the production function. These estimates show that intensive practices are likely to have had persistent, substantial, and statistically significant negative effects on productivity. Ignoring these effects can cause substantial misallocation of resources. The results illustrate the possibility of estimating sectoral environmental indices using data commonly available.
BASE
Increased population pressure and political decisions have led to more intensive agricultural practices in China. As in other regions of the world, these practices can damage natural capital. We use the Kalman filter and Chinese panel data to estimate an index of environmental productivity (natural capital), together with the parameters of environmental dynamics and the production function. These estimates show that intensive practices are likely to have had persistent, substantial, and statistically significant negative effects on productivity. Ignoring these effects can cause substantial misallocation of resources. The results illustrate the possibility of estimating sectoral environmental indices using data commonly available.
BASE
SSRN
Working paper
In: International journal of academic research in business and social sciences: IJ-ARBSS, Band 11, Heft 9
ISSN: 2222-6990
In: Socio-economic planning sciences: the international journal of public sector decision-making, Band 8, Heft 1, S. 1-8
ISSN: 0038-0121
In: The quarterly review of economics and finance, Band 48, Heft 3, S. 520-540
ISSN: 1062-9769
SSRN
World Affairs Online
International audience ; This paper analyzes the degree of return predictability (or weak-form informational efficiency) of Dow Jones Islamic and conventional size and sector-indices using the data from 1996 to 2013. Employing the automatic portmanteau and variance ratio tests for the martingale difference hypothesis of asset returns, we find that all Islamic and conventional sub-index returns have been predictable in a number of periods, consistent with the implications of the adaptive markets hypothesis. Overall, the Islamic sector-indices exhibit a higher degree of informational efficiency than the conventional ones, especially in the Consumer Goods, Consumer Services, Financials and Technology sectors. We also find that the Islamic sub-indices tend to be more efficient than the conventional ones during crisis periods.
BASE
International audience ; This paper analyzes the degree of return predictability (or weak-form informational efficiency) of Dow Jones Islamic and conventional size and sector-indices using the data from 1996 to 2013. Employing the automatic portmanteau and variance ratio tests for the martingale difference hypothesis of asset returns, we find that all Islamic and conventional sub-index returns have been predictable in a number of periods, consistent with the implications of the adaptive markets hypothesis. Overall, the Islamic sector-indices exhibit a higher degree of informational efficiency than the conventional ones, especially in the Consumer Goods, Consumer Services, Financials and Technology sectors. We also find that the Islamic sub-indices tend to be more efficient than the conventional ones during crisis periods.
BASE
International audience ; This paper analyzes the degree of return predictability (or weak-form informational efficiency) of Dow Jones Islamic and conventional size and sector-indices using the data from 1996 to 2013. Employing the automatic portmanteau and variance ratio tests for the martingale difference hypothesis of asset returns, we find that all Islamic and conventional sub-index returns have been predictable in a number of periods, consistent with the implications of the adaptive markets hypothesis. Overall, the Islamic sector-indices exhibit a higher degree of informational efficiency than the conventional ones, especially in the Consumer Goods, Consumer Services, Financials and Technology sectors. We also find that the Islamic sub-indices tend to be more efficient than the conventional ones during crisis periods.
BASE
International audience ; This paper analyzes the degree of return predictability (or weak-form informational efficiency) of Dow Jones Islamic and conventional size and sector-indices using the data from 1996 to 2013. Employing the automatic portmanteau and variance ratio tests for the martingale difference hypothesis of asset returns, we find that all Islamic and conventional sub-index returns have been predictable in a number of periods, consistent with the implications of the adaptive markets hypothesis. Overall, the Islamic sector-indices exhibit a higher degree of informational efficiency than the conventional ones, especially in the Consumer Goods, Consumer Services, Financials and Technology sectors. We also find that the Islamic sub-indices tend to be more efficient than the conventional ones during crisis periods.
BASE
In: Ca' Foscari University of Venice Working Paper No. 09/WP/2012
SSRN