Suchergebnisse

Having won just 19 of 162 seats in northern England at the 2005 general election, the Conservative party under David Cameron's leadership has made an electoral revival in the north of England a particular priority. This article first outlines the Conservatives' post‐war electoral record in the north and considers the significance of northern England to the party's strategy at the next general election. It then moves on to examine the potential for socio‐economics, identity, memory, ideology and party organisation to frustrate its current ambitions for revival. Finally, it outlines and evaluates the initiatives which the party has undertaken in the north of England since 2005.

Illegitimacy in a historic, single community at Penrith, Cumbria
(1557–1812), has been studied using aggregative analysis, family
reconstitution and time series analysis. This population was living under
extreme conditions of hardship. Long, medium and short wavelength cycles in
the rate of illegitimacy have been identified by time series analysis; each
represents a different response to social and economic pressures. In a complex
interaction of events, the peaks of the cycles in wheat prices were associated
with rises in adult mortality which promoted an influx of migrants and a
concomitant rise in illegitimacy. The association between immigration and
illegitimacy was particularly noticeable after the mortality crises of the
late sixteenth and early seventeenth centuries. Children of immigrant families
also tended to
produce illegitimate offspring.
Native and immigrant families responded
differently to extrinsic fluctuations, and variations in their
reproductive
behaviour were probably related to access to resources.