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AbstractThis paper analyses the determinants of participation in nonfarm activities and the impact of nonfarm employment on household income. A clear empirical regularity is that women are significantly less likely than men to be in wage employment and more likely than men to be in self‐employment activities. We find also that households whose heads have completed secondary education or higher gravitate more toward wage employment. Nonfarm employment appears to be crucial for the alleviation from rural poverty in Ghana. With limited opportunities in agriculture, nonfarm employment is necessary to augment or supplement farm incomes. Copyright © 2011 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

So far, slowing employment growth. Figure 1: Private nonfarm payroll employment (bold black), preliminary benchmark (gray square), Bloomberg consensus as of 8/30 (blue +), QCEW private, seasonally adjusted by author using X-13 (teal), from ADP (tan), 000's, s.a. Source: BLS, Bloomberg, ADP via FRED, author's calculations.

ADP surprised on the upside (143K vs 124K consensus): Not sure what this means, but ADP is outstripping the official series, which is itself above the preliminary benchmark. Figure 1: Private nonfarm payroll employment from CES (blue), preliminary benchmark (light blue), ADP-Stanford (green), QCEW (red), change from 2023M01, in 000's, s.a. QCEW seasonally adjusted using […]

Using individual level employment data from Bangladesh, this paper presents empirical evidence on the relative importance of farm and urban linkages for rural nonfarm employment. The econometric results indicate that high return wage work and self-employment in nonfarm activities cluster around major urban centers. The negative effects of isolation on high return wage work and on self-employment are magnified in locations with higher agricultural potential. The low return nonfarm activities respond primarily to local demand displaying no significant spatial variation. The empirical results highlight the need for improved connectivity of regions with higher agricultural potential to urban centers for nonfarm development in Bangladesh

The employment surprise in context. Figure 1: NFP (bold blue), Bloomberg consensus of 4/4 (light blue x), household series adjusted to NFP concept (green), Philadelphia Fed early benchmark (pink), aggregate weekly hours index of private production & nonsupervisory workers (tan), all in logs, 2011M11=0. Source: BLS via FRED, Philadelphia Fed, Bloomberg, and author's calculations.

With the release of the Philadelphia Fed early benchmark, we have the following 12 month changes in employment (000's) from different sources: From April 2023 to April 2024, according to the Philadelphia Fed early benchmark nonfarm payroll employment grew only 2.4 mn rather than 2.8 mn as reported by CES. Figure 1: Nonfarm payroll employment […]

With the excessive labor supply and the persistence of urban-rural migration, the development of nonfarm enterprises is imperative from the government. This paper develops an analytical framework to determine the impact of macroeconomic policies on rural nonfarm enterprises (RNEs). It also analyzes the trends in RNEs growth, the changes in the government policies towards sector and the markets for its output.