Leave-One-Out Least Square Monte Carlo Algorithm for Pricing Bermudan Options
In: Journal of Futures Markets (Forthcoming)
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In: Journal of Futures Markets (Forthcoming)
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Working paper
In: International journal of forecasting, Band 39, Heft 2, S. 674-690
ISSN: 0169-2070
SSRN
Working paper
In: Journal of economic dynamics & control, Band 100, S. 86-114
ISSN: 0165-1889
In: Communications in statistics. Simulation and computation, Band 45, Heft 2, S. 472-490
ISSN: 1532-4141
In: FINANA-D-24-02693
SSRN
In: Journal of military ethics, Band 3, Heft 3, S. 252-256
ISSN: 1502-7589
In: Communications in statistics. Theory and methods, Band 20, Heft 4, S. 1163-1182
ISSN: 1532-415X
In: The American journal of family therapy: AJFT, Band 39, Heft 3, S. 226-241
ISSN: 1521-0383
In: ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing: official publication of the International Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing (ISPRS), Band 63, Heft 4, S. 427-440
ISSN: 0924-2716
In: History of political economy, Band 25, Heft suppl_1, S. 271-282
ISSN: 1527-1919
In: Decision sciences, Band 30, Heft 1, S. 197-216
ISSN: 1540-5915
ABSTRACTEconometric methods used in foreign exchange rate forecasting have produced inferior out‐of‐sample results compared to a random walk model. Applications of neural networks have shown mixed findings. In this paper, we investigate the potentials of neural network models by employing two cross‐validation schemes. The effects of different in‐sample time periods and sample sizes are examined. Out‐of‐sample performance evaluated with four criteria across three forecasting horizons shows that neural networks are a more robust forecasting method than the random walk model. Moreover, neural network predictions are quite accurate even when the sample size is relatively small.
In: Communications in statistics. Theory and methods, Band 36, Heft 5, S. 939-953
ISSN: 1532-415X