Costs and benefits of greenhouse gas reduction
In: AEI studies on global environmental policy
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In: AEI studies on global environmental policy
In: Climate change and its causes, effects and prediction series
In: NBER working paper series 13266
A low carbon fuel standard (LCFS) seeks to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by limiting a fuel producer's carbon emissions per unit of output. California has launched an LCFS for transportation fuels; others have called for a national LCFS. We show that this policy decreases production of high-carbon fuels but increases production of low-carbon fuels. The net effect of this may be an increase in carbon emissions. The LCFS cannot be first best, and the best LCFS may reduce social welfare. We simulate the outcomes of a national LCFS, focusing on gasoline and ethanol as the high- and low-carbon fuels. For a broad range of parameters, we find that the LCFS is unlikely to increase CO2 emissions. However, the surplus losses from the LCFS are likely to be quite large ($80 to $760 billion annually for a national LCFS reducing carbon intensities by 10 percent), energy prices are likely to increase, and the average carbon cost ($307 to $2,272 per ton of CO2 for the same LCFS) can be much larger than damage estimates. We describe an efficient policy that achieves the same emissions reduction at a much lower surplus cost ($16 to $290 billion) and much lower average carbon cost ($60 to $868 per ton of CO2).
In: Journal of Industrial Ecology, Band 20, Heft 2, S. 329-340
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In: NBER Working Paper No. w13266
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The aim of the study is to evaluate the potential of greenhouse gases, and production and substitution of fossil fuel from animal manure. This paper describes a model for the prediction of greenhouse gases (GHGs) and ammonia emissions, originated from animal husbandry, were presented. The input data in the model were primarily acquired from different Norwegian governmental institutions; however, some were unavailable. The remaining data were based on personal knowledge such as manure storage conditions (i.e., storage time on Norwegian farms, temperature ranges between storage periods, loading capacity of trucks for manure transport, etc.). The model included: methane emissions from animal facilities and waste storage units, ammonia emissions from storage units, nitrous oxide from stores, transportation of manure to collaborative biogas plants, and energy production and substituted energy when biogas production was selected. The model was then used to study the reduction in GHG emissions when anaerobic digestion was applied. All of the calculated gas emission values showed that methane was sensitive to temperature; however, only 4% of emissions were emitted from animal facilities due to minor amounts of manure. The contribution of stored manure in summer was approximately 62%, although some amounts were excluded because it was the grazing season. The estimates of GHG effects of anaerobic treatment was 45% lower than the governmental estimates. The contribution of ammonia emissions to GHG emissions is small due to low oxidation rates, but the reduction itself can lead to increase ammonia concentrations in manure and thereby reduce the need of artificial nitrogen input. Transportation represented a minor contribution to GHG outlets compared to the reduction potential when including the substitution effect of biogas as an energy carrier, even for the longest transportation distances modeled. The type of energy carrier biogas that would be substituted was the most important factor for the potential reduction in GHGs.
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In: Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, published online August 5, 2010
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Working paper
In: Journal of policy analysis and management: the journal of the Association for Public Policy Analysis and Management, Band 29, Heft 4, S. 821-854
ISSN: 0276-8739
In: Climate policy, Band 1, Heft 3, S. 363-380
ISSN: 1752-7457
In: Journal of Industrial Ecology, Band 22, Heft 2, S. 275-287
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In: Policy sciences: integrating knowledge and practice to advance human dignity, Band 40, Heft 4, S. 353-365
ISSN: 1573-0891
In: Policy sciences: integrating knowledge and practice to advance human dignity ; the journal of the Society of Policy Scientists, Band 40, Heft 4, S. 353
ISSN: 0032-2687
In: Strategic planning for energy and the environment, Band 26, Heft 2, S. 21-30
ISSN: 1546-0126
In: Journal of Industrial Ecology, Band 20, Heft 2, S. 317-328
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