World Food Demand
In: American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Band 94, Heft 1, S. 25-51
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In: American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Band 94, Heft 1, S. 25-51
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In: Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Band 60, Heft 2, S. 177-195
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International audience ; This paper explores rural household food consumption behaviour in China using a large household data set from Jilin Province. Data are classified into four main food groups--grain, vegetable products, animal products and other foods. A household food demand system, incorporating four household characteristics, is estimated using an LA-AIDS model, assuming a three-stage budgeting procedure. Expenditure elasticities for a range of food groups are estimated, with a particular focus on animal products. The inclusion of household characteristics did not have a big impact on the elasticity values in any of the three stages of the budgeting process. The total expenditure elasticity for grain (stage II) was 0.64, suggesting substantial future growth in household demand for fine grains such as rice and wheat, as per capita incomes continue to grow in rural areas. The highest conditional and total expenditure elasticity values were for the animal products (stage II) group, 1.22 and 0.76 respectively. Within this group the elasticities were highest for the meat sub-group at 1.14 and 0.87 respectively, suggesting an almost proportionate increase in demand as household incomes grow. Added demand pressures from animal production will likely keep grain policy high on the political agenda.
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In: Applied Economics, Band 39, Heft 3, S. 373-380
This paper explores rural household food consumption behaviour in China using a large household data set from Jilin Province. Data are classified into four main food groups—grain, vegetable products, animal products and other foods. A household food demand system, incorporating four household characteristics, is estimated using an LA-AIDS model, assuming a three-stage budgeting procedure. Expenditure elasticities for a range of food groups are estimated, with a particular focus on animal products. The inclusion of household characteristics did not have a big impact on the elasticity values in any of the three stages of the budgeting process. The total expenditure elasticity for grain (stage II) was 0.64, suggesting substantial future growth in household demand for fine grains such as rice and wheat, as per capita incomes continue to grow in rural areas. The highest conditional and total expenditure elasticity values were for the animal products (stage II) group, 1.22 and 0.76 respectively. Within this group the elasticities were highest for the meat sub-group at 1.14 and 0.87 respectively, suggesting an almost proportionate increase in demand as household incomes grow. Added demand pressures from animal production will likely keep grain policy high on the political agenda.
This book discusses the likely impacts of health information on the demand for various foods in various countries and among various socioeconomic groups. The effects of types of information such as food scares related to mad cow disease and advertising are also discussed. The book serves as reference for researchers in the food industry and government, as well as a supplementary textbook in courses in applied microeconomics, consumer demand, health economics and food consumption and nutrition. The book is based on papers presented in the mini-symposium on 'Effects of Health Information on the Demand for Food: EU and US Experiences' organized as part of the XXIV International Conference of Agricultural Economists held in Berlin, Germany during 13-18 August 2000
In: American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Band 91, Heft 1, S. 168-183
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In: Economic Research Report No. 56
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Working paper
In: Population and development review, Band 48, Heft 4, S. 921-957
ISSN: 1728-4457
AbstractPublished estimates of 2050 food demand exhibit an enormous range of values. This paper projects a 50–60 percent increase in total global food demand between 2019 and 2050. Our analysis indicates a substantial slowing of rice demand, a growing share of palm oil in world fats and oils markets, and a continued shift to poultry as the dominant form of meat consumption. In contrast to most existing food models, we integrate fish consumption into the analysis of vegetable and animal protein and highlight the dangers of using commonly cited feed ratios for projecting feed grain demand. More broadly, we demonstrate the value of a commodity by region approach for understanding complexities in the world food system.
Poor-quality diets are one of the leading causes of malnutrition and common non-communicable disease. In this study, we use nationally representative household survey data and food demand system estimations to analyze dietary change and changing consumer preferences for different foods in the context of urbanization in low- and middle-income countries. We estimate and compare income and price elasticities of total food demand and the demand for 15 food groups in rural, urban, and city areas of Bangladesh for 2010 and 2016. We then use Oaxaca-Blinder decomposition regressions to explore how much of the observed food consumption changes can be explained by changes in revealed consumer preferences vis-à-vis changes in household income and food prices. The results show that Bangladeshi diets shifted from coarse to refined rice, and consumer preferences for vegetables and pulses were relatively low, contributing to worsening dietary quality. On the other hand, the consumption of nutritious, animal-source foods including fish, poultry, and eggs increased due to high consumer preferences and declining food prices-partly thanks to governmental production support. Regarding the dietary implications of rapid urbanization, the analysis suggests that rural consumers' diets will largely follow the trajectory of urban consumers in Bangladesh. ; Non-PR ; IFPRI1; CRP4; 2 Promoting Healthy Diets and Nutrition for all ; DSGD; A4NH ; CGIAR Research Program on Agriculture for Nutrition and Health (A4NH)
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In: Review of agricultural and applied economics: RAAE ; The Successor of the Acta Oeconomica et Informatica, Band 21, Heft 1, S. 64-75
ISSN: 1336-9261
In: American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Band 78, Heft 1, S. 21-29
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In: Journal of social sciences: interdisciplinary reflection of contemporary society, Band 18, Heft 3, S. 209-215
ISSN: 2456-6756
In: Economic Analysis and Policy, Band 85, S. 656-674
This paper seeks to understand how market imperfections affect the behavior of consumers in China's rural economy. A theoretical and empirical model is developed and estimated using a household-level data from six counties in Hebei Province. The results show that market development plays an important role in explaining food consumption behavior in China. As the market develops, farmers demand less grain and vegetables and consume more meat, fruit, and other food products after control for income and price effects. Moreover, the elasticities of demand also change as farm households begin to rely more on rural markets. The results of this paper suggest that a government concerned about the welfare of its rural population may want to be paying a more active role in fostering rural markets. Understanding the forces behind these consumption pattern shifts also will aid academics and policymakers in making better projections about future consumerneeds and price levels. ; Non-PR ; IFPRI1 ; FCND
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