Approximation Error in the Log-Linear Present Value Model and Predictive Regressions
In: FRL-D-23-00846
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In: FRL-D-23-00846
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In: International journal of forecasting, Band 7, Heft 3, S. 331-334
ISSN: 0169-2070
In: Iraqi journal of science, S. 1433-1439
ISSN: 0067-2904
In this paper, some estimators for the unknown shape parameters and reliability function of Basic Gompertz distribution were obtained, such as Maximum likelihood estimator and some Bayesian estimators under Squared log error loss function by using Gamma and Jefferys priors. Monte-Carlo simulation was conducted to compare the performance of all estimates of the shape parameter and Reliability function, based on mean squared errors (MSE) and integrated mean squared errors (IMSE's), respectively. Finally, the discussion is provided to illustrate the results that are summarized in tables.
In: IEEE transactions on engineering management: EM ; a publication of the IEEE Engineering Management Society, Band 58, Heft 2, S. 228-249
In: Statistical papers, Band 58, Heft 2, S. 319-339
ISSN: 1613-9798
In: CESifo Working Paper Series No. 2591
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To preserve our cultural heritage, it is important to preserve our architectonic assets, comprising buildings, their decorations and the spaces they encompass. In some geographical areas, occasional natural disasters, specifically earthquakes, damage these cultural assets. Perpetuate is a European Union funded project aimed at establishing a methodology for the classification of the damage to these buildings, expressed as "collapse mechanisms". Structural engineering research has identified 17 different collapse mechanisms for masonry buildings damaged by earthquakes. Following established structural engineering practice, paper-based decisions trees have been specified to encode the recognition process for each of the various collapse mechanisms. In this paper, we report on how answer set programming has been applied to the construction of a machine-processable representation of these collapse mechanisms as an alternative for these decision-trees and their subsequent verification and application to building records from L'Aquila, Algiers and Rhodes. As a result, we advocate that structural engineers do not require the time-consuming and error-prone method of decisions trees, but can instead specify the properties of collapse mechanisms directly as an answer set program.
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Working paper
Conventional speech recognition systems are based on Gaussian hidden Markov models (HMMs).Discriminative techniques such as log-linear modeling have been investigated in speech recognition only recently. This thesis establishes a log-linear modeling framework in the context of discriminative training criteria, with examples from continuous speech recognition, part-of-speech tagging, and handwriting recognition. The focus will be on the theoretical and experimental comparison of different training algorithms. Equivalence relations for Gaussian and log-linear models in speech recognition are derived. It is shown how to incorporate a margin term into conventional discriminative training criteria like for example minimum phone error (MPE). This permits to evaluate directly the utility of the margin concept for string recognition. The equivalence relations and the margin-based training criteria lead to a unified view of three major training paradigms, namely Gaussian HMMs, log-linear models, and support vector machines (SVMs). Generalized iterative scaling (GIS) is traditionally used for the optimization of log-linear models with the maximum mutual information (MMI) criterion. This thesis suggests an extension of GIS to log-linear models including hidden variables, and to other training criteria (e.g. MPE). Finally, investigations on convex optimization in speech recognition are presented. Experimental results are provided for a variety of tasks, including the European Parliament plenary sessions task and Mandarin broadcasts.
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[EN] In this paper, estimators of the Nakagami-lognormal (NL) distribution based on the method of log-moments have been derived and thoroughly analyzed. Unlike maximum likelihood (ML) estimators, the log-moment estimators of the NL distribution are obtained using straightforward equations with a unique solution. Also, their performance has been evaluated using the sample mean, confidence regions and normalized mean square error (NMSE). The NL distribution has been extensively used to model composite small-scale fading and shadowing in wireless communication channels. This distribution is of interest in scenarios where the small-scale fading and the shadowing processes cannot be easily separated such as the vehicular environment. ; This work has been funded in part by the Programa de Estancias de Movilidad de Profesores e Investigadores en Centros Extranjeros de Ensenanza Superior e Investigacion of the Ministerio de Educacion, Cultura y Deporte, Spain, PR2015-00151 and by the Ministerio de Economia, Industria y Competitividad of the Spanish Government under the national project TEC2017-86779-C2-2-R, through the Agencia Estatal de Investigacion (AEI) and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER). ; Reig, J.; Brennan, C.; Rodrigo Peñarrocha, VM.; Rubio Arjona, L. (2019). Log-moment estimators of the Nakagami-lognormal distribution. EURASIP Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13638-018-1328-6 ; S ; 1 ; 10 ; J. M. Ho, G. L. Stüber, in Co-channel interference of microcellular systems on shadowed Nakagami fading channels. Proc. IEEE 43rd Vehicular Technology Conference, 1993 (VTC 93) (IEEESecaucus, 1993), pp. 568–571. ; A. A. Abu-Dayya, N. C. Beaulieu, Micro- and macrodiversity NCFSK (DPSK) on shadowed Nakagami-fading channels. IEEE Trans. Commun.42(9), 2693–2702 (1994). ; X. Wang, W. Wang, Z. Bu, Fade statistics for selection diversity in Nakagami-lognormal fading channels. Electron. Lett.42(18), 1046–1047 (2006). ; D. T. Nguyen, Q. T. Nguyen, S. C. Lam, Analysis ...
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1 10 ; S ; [EN] In this paper, estimators of the Nakagami-lognormal (NL) distribution based on the method of log-moments have been derived and thoroughly analyzed. Unlike maximum likelihood (ML) estimators, the log-moment estimators of the NL distribution are obtained using straightforward equations with a unique solution. Also, their performance has been evaluated using the sample mean, confidence regions and normalized mean square error (NMSE). The NL distribution has been extensively used to model composite small-scale fading and shadowing in wireless communication channels. This distribution is of interest in scenarios where the small-scale fading and the shadowing processes cannot be easily separated such as the vehicular environment. This work has been funded in part by the Programa de Estancias de Movilidad de Profesores e Investigadores en Centros Extranjeros de Ensenanza Superior e Investigacion of the Ministerio de Educacion, Cultura y Deporte, Spain, PR2015-00151 and by the Ministerio de Economia, Industria y Competitividad of the Spanish Government under the national project TEC2017-86779-C2-2-R, through the Agencia Estatal de Investigacion (AEI) and the Fondo Europeo de Desarrollo Regional (FEDER). Reig, J.; Brennan, C.; Rodrigo Peñarrocha, VM.; Rubio Arjona, L. (2019). Log-moment estimators of the Nakagami-lognormal distribution. EURASIP Journal on Wireless Communications and Networking. 1-10. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13638-018-1328-6 J. M. Ho, G. L. Stüber, in Co-channel interference of microcellular systems on shadowed Nakagami fading channels. Proc. IEEE 43rd Vehicular Technology Conference, 1993 (VTC 93) (IEEESecaucus, 1993), pp. 568–571. A. A. Abu-Dayya, N. C. Beaulieu, Micro- and macrodiversity NCFSK (DPSK) on shadowed Nakagami-fading channels. IEEE Trans. Commun.42(9), 2693–2702 (1994). X. Wang, W. Wang, Z. Bu, Fade statistics for selection diversity in Nakagami-lognormal fading channels. Electron. Lett.42(18), 1046–1047 (2006). D. T. Nguyen, Q. T. Nguyen, S. C. Lam, Analysis and simulation ...
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This project aimed to assess the impact of electronic ordering systems, on the quality use of pathology services across six hospital sites and different pathology departments, for the following areas:- the legibility and completeness of laboratory test orders and the impact on Central Specimen Reception work processes (Quality of test orders). - the volume and mix of tests ordered examined by such factors as Diagnosis-related Groups (DRGs), adjusted for clinical activity where appropriate, and the prevalence of add-on and repeat testing (Effectiveness). - the timeliness of the pathology laboratory process (Turnaround time). - the impact of pathology performance (e.g., laboratory test turnaround times) on the duration of patient stay in the emergency department (Patient outcome).The project also produced a benefits realisation framework, made up of performance indicators, that can be used to guide the assessment of electronic ordering in a pathology service and to monitor what works (or doesn't work), where, and in what circumstances. The project was funded by an Australian Government Department of Health and Ageing, Quality Use of Pathology Program grant.
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In: Statistica Neerlandica: journal of the Netherlands Society for Statistics and Operations Research, Band 71, Heft 3, S. 200-224
ISSN: 1467-9574
This paper deals with the issue of testing hypotheses in symmetric and log‐symmetric linear regression models in small and moderate‐sized samples. We focus on four tests, namely, the Wald, likelihood ratio, score, and gradient tests. These tests rely on asymptotic results and are unreliable when the sample size is not large enough to guarantee a good agreement between the exact distribution of the test statistic and the corresponding chi‐squared asymptotic distribution. Bartlett and Bartlett‐type corrections typically attenuate the size distortion of the tests. These corrections are available in the literature for the likelihood ratio and score tests in symmetric linear regression models. Here, we derive a Bartlett‐type correction for the gradient test. We show that the corrections are also valid for the log‐symmetric linear regression models. We numerically compare the various tests and bootstrapped tests, through simulations. Our results suggest that the corrected and bootstrapped tests exhibit type I probability error closer to the chosen nominal level with virtually no power loss. The analytically corrected tests as well as the bootstrapped tests, including the Bartlett‐corrected gradient test derived in this paper, perform with the advantage of not requiring computationally intensive calculations. We present a real data application to illustrate the usefulness of the modified tests.
In: Journal of Computational Finance, Band 26, Heft 4
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In: Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series A (Statistics in Society), Band 185, Heft 4, S. 2073-2096
Estimating poverty and inequality parameters for small sub-populations with adequate precision is often beyond the reach of ordinary survey-weighted methods because of small sample sizes. In small area estimation, survey data and auxiliary information are combined, in most cases using a model. In this paper, motivated by the analysis of EU-SILC data for Italy, we target the estimation of a selection of poverty and inequality indicators, that is mean, headcount ratio and quintile share ratio, adopting a Bayesian approach. We consider unit-level models specified on the log transformation of a skewed variable (equivalized income). We show how a finite mixture of log-normals provides a substantial improvement in the quality of fit with respect to a single log-normal model. Unfortunately, working with these distributions leads, for some estimands, to the non-existence of posterior moments whenever priors for the variance components are not carefully chosen, as our theoretical results show. To allow the use of moments in posterior summaries, we recommend generalized inverse Gaussian distributions as priors for variance components, guiding the choice of hyperparameters.