Suchergebnisse

The recent developments in the agricultural sector of
Pakistan, especially in the West Wing, have created great optimism for
increasing food supply. The significance of increasing food supply
should, however, be judged in relation to the rising demand for food
during the process of economic growth and foreign-trade opportunities
for food. Therefore, when planning for agricultural development to raise
food supply, it is vitally important that the future levels of demand
for food are accurately predicted. Since priorities and investment
targets have to be based on demand forecasts for different commodities,
demand prediction is essential for development planning. The purpose of
this study is to project the future levels of demand for important food
items in Pakistan and then analyse the significance of those demands for
future agricultural development in Pakistan.

Food is a basic need that must be fulfilled by every citizen / community and is the right of every resident to fulfill his food needs. So it is natural that many countries whose governments give considerable attention to food-related problems both in terms of demand and supply. Research on demand for food commodities in Tulungagung Regency uses data from SUSENAS (National Socio-Economic Survey) in 2018 obtained from the Indonesian Central Bureau of Statistics. The model used in this study is the AIDS (Almost Ideal Demand System) model with the SUR (Seemingly Unrelated Regression) method. The results showed that the factors that influenced the demand for food commodities were rice prices, corn prices, soybean prices, mungbean prices, peanut prices for cassava prices, sweet potato prices, and total household expenditure. Price elasticity is elastic for food commodities (rice, corn, green beans, peanuts, cassava and sweet potatoes). Cross elasticity has a substitution relationship in each commodity and is also complementary in each commodity. Expenditure elasticity shows that all food commodities are normal goods.

Exports of primary producing countries have for some time been rising more slowly than incomes in industrial countries. A previous article discussed why their exports of industrial materials had lagged behind; this article deals with their exports of food to industrial countries (chart 1).