Suchergebnisse

The extent to which levels and trends in local unemployment and income influenced the Conservative vote in 633 separate British constituency elections in 1983 is estimated in several regression models. Long-term influences on voting are controlled by the endogenous variables of social class and territoriality. It is argued that this research design is superior to previous ones that have treated general elections as national elections in exploring the economic theory of voting. Sensitivity analysis (the use of several models to illuminate the research problem posed) suggests that, unlike America congressional elections, current rates and trends in local unemployment and income exerted a substantial and systematic influence on constituency voting.

Using national survey data (N not given) the extent to which levels & trends in local unemployment & income influenced the conservative vote in 633 separate British constituency elections in 1983 is estimated in several regression models. Long-term influences on voting are controlled by the endogenous variables of SC & territoriality. It is argued that this research design is superior to previous ones that have treated general elections as national elections in exploring the economic theory of voting. Sensitivity analysis (the use of several models to illuminate the research problem posed) suggests that, unlike in US congressional elections, current rates & trends in local unemployment & income exerted a substantial & systematic influence on constituency voting in GB. 4 Tables. HA

Abstract Non‐economic social phenomena have been, and are being, explored with analytic methods drawn from economic analysis. Two such analytic concepts, indifference curves and offer curves, have proved useful in such efforts. The concepts are integrated here within a specific formal model which is held to be useful in exploring the central social and political process of bargaining. The impact of three variables–preference, impatience (or time), and reciprocal demand intensity–on political bargaining is shown. The framework provides a scheme around which empirical research can be organized to assist in the integration of economic with other social science theory.

Die Verfasser legen Daten zum Wahlverhalten auf Wahlkreisebene für die polnischen Parlamentswahlen 1993 vor und vergleichen sie mit entsprechenden Daten aus dem Jahr 1991. Gefragt wird nach Zusammenhängen zwischen Wahlbeteiligung und Wahlentscheidung einerseits und sozioökonomischen Variablen andererseits. Die Untersuchung macht deutliche Unterschiede zwischen dem Wahlverhalten 1991 und 1993 sichtbar. 1993 führte eine höhere Wahlbeteiligung zu Stimmengewinnen für die politische Linke. Sozioökonomische Faktoren fielen demgegenüber weniger ins Gewicht als 1991. Einen signifikanten Einfluß auf Wahlbeteiligung und Wahlentscheidung hatten 1993 regionale Faktoren. Hier wurden deutliche Unterschiede zwischen dem modernen Nordwesten Polens und dem eher traditionalen Südosten deutlich. (BIOst-Wpt)