Rallying Around the Flag in Times of COVID-19: Societal Lockdown and Trust in Democratic Institutions
In: Journal of Behavioral Public Administration 3(2), 2020
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In: Journal of Behavioral Public Administration 3(2), 2020
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In: Bækgaard , M , Christensen , J , Krogh Madsen , J & Mikkelsen , K S 2020 , ' Rallying around the flag in times of COVID-19 : Societal lockdown and trust in democratic institutions ' , Journal of Behavioral Public Administration , vol. 3 , no. 2 . https://doi.org/10.30636/jbpa.32.172
In times of severe international crises, such as wars and terrorist attacks, citizens tend to 'rally-around-the-flag' and increase their support for political leaders. We ask if the rallying effects identified in the literature extend to the societal lockdowns in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19-related lockdowns differ from crises studied in the existing literature because they are political crisis responses with severe and immediate negative effects on the economy. Using daily responses right before and after the announcement of the Danish lockdown on March, 11 2020, we study trust in democratic institutions among unemployed Danes over the first three weeks of a large-scale societal lockdown. OLS estimates show that trust in the Danish Prime Minister's administration was higher immediately after the lockdown announcement. This increase lasted throughout the entire period of measurement (until the end of March). We find similarly increased trust in other institutions, most significantly the judicial system, the media, and the public sector at large, whereas findings for trust in parliament are mixed. Interrupted time series estimates point to the same conclusions albeit they produce estimates with more noise. Overall, our findings are consistent with the idea that citizens tend to 'rally around the flag' in times of crisis and furthermore suggest that increased trust tends to spill over to institutions that are not involved in crisis management decisions. ; In times of severe international crises, such as wars and terrorist attacks, citizens tend to 'rally around the flag' and increase their support for political leaders. We ask if the rallying effects identified in the literature extend to the societal lockdowns in response to the COVID-19 pandemic. COVID-19-related lockdowns differ from crises studied in the existing literature because they are political crisis responses with severe and immediate negative effects on the economy. Using daily responses right before and after the announcement of the Danish lockdown on March 11, 2020, we study trust in democratic institutions among unemployed Danes over the first three weeks of a large-scale societal lockdown. OLS estimates show that trust in the Danish Prime Minister's administration was higher immediately after the lockdown announcement. This increase lasted throughout the entire period of measurement (until the end of March). We find similarly increased trust in other institutions, most significantly the judicial system and the public sector at large, whereas findings for trust in parliament and the media are less clear. Interrupted time series estimates point to the same conclusions albeit they produce estimates with more noise. Overall, our findings are consistent with the idea that citizens tend to 'rally around the flag' in times of crisis and furthermore suggest that increased trust tends to spill over to institutions that are not involved in crisis management decisions.
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In: Public administration: an international journal
ISSN: 1467-9299
AbstractDeservingness literature has shown that people, including frontline workers, spontaneously judge whether welfare recipients are responsible for their own situation or are victims of circumstances beyond their own control, and that these judgments shape behaviors and opinions. We contribute to this literature by examining the impact of clients' responsibility for their own sickness on how the clients are treated by frontline workers. Using a pre‐registered vignette survey experiment among 1050 caseworkers, we examine our hypothesis that frontline workers treat clients who are responsible for their own sickness more harshly. In the experiment, we manipulate whether a client got COVID‐19 because of his own behavior or was unlucky to catch it. We find that although the manipulation strongly influences frontline workers' responsibility attribution, it does not affect inclinations to help or sanction the client. Our findings highlight that factors other than deservingness are important for frontline workers' prioritization of sick citizens.
In: Public administration review: PAR, Band 80, Heft 1, S. 127-136
ISSN: 1540-6210
AbstractOne means by which the state reinforces inequality is by imposing administrative burdens that loom larger for citizens with lower levels of human capital. Integrating insights from various disciplines, this article focuses on one aspect of human capital: cognitive resources. The authors outline a model that explains how burdens and cognitive resources, especially executive functioning, interrelate. The article then presents illustrative examples, highlighting three common life factors—scarcity, health problems, and age‐related cognitive decline. These factors create a human capital catch‐22, increasing people's likelihood of needing state assistance while simultaneously undermining the cognitive resources required to negotiate the burdens they encounter while seeking such assistance. The result is to reduce access to state benefits and increase inequality. The article concludes by calling for scholars of behavioral public administration and public administration more generally to incorporate more attention to human capital into their research.
In: Christensen, Julian, Lene Aarøe, Martin Baekgaard, Pamela Herd, & Donald P. Moynihan (2020). Human Capital and Administrative Burden: The Role of Cognitive Resources in Citizen‐State Interactions. Public Administration Review, 80: 127-136. https://doi.org/10.1111/puar.13134
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In: Bækgaard , M , Christensen , J , Dahlmann , C M , Mathiasen , A & Petersen , N B 2019 , ' The Role of Evidence in Politics : Motivated Reasoning and Persuasion among Politicians ' , British Journal of Political Science , vol. 49 , no. 3 , pp. 1117-1140 . https://doi.org/10.1017/S0007123417000084
Does evidence help politicians make informed decisions even if it is at odds with their prior beliefs? And does providing more evidence increase the likelihood that politicians will be enlightened by the information? Based on the literature on motivated political reasoning and the theory about affective tipping points, this article hypothesizes that politicians tend to reject evidence that contradicts their prior attitudes, but that increasing the amount of evidence will reduce the impact of prior attitudes and strengthen their ability to interpret the information correctly. These hypotheses are examined using randomized survey experiments with responses from 954 Danish politicians, and results from this sample are compared to responses from similar survey experiments with Danish citizens. The experimental findings strongly support the hypothesis that politicians are biased by prior attitudes when interpreting information. However, in contrast to expectations, the findings show that the impact of prior attitudes increases when more evidence is provided.
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In: British journal of political science, Band 49, Heft 3, S. 1117-1140
ISSN: 1469-2112
Does evidence help politicians make informed decisions even if it is at odds with their prior beliefs? And does providing more evidence increase the likelihood that politicians will be enlightened by the information? Based on the literature on motivated political reasoning and the theory about affective tipping points, this article hypothesizes that politicians tend to reject evidence that contradicts their prior attitudes, but that increasing the amount of evidence will reduce the impact of prior attitudes and strengthen their ability to interpret the information correctly. These hypotheses are examined using randomized survey experiments with responses from 954 Danish politicians, and results from this sample are compared to responses from similar survey experiments with Danish citizens. The experimental findings strongly support the hypothesis that politicians are biased by prior attitudes when interpreting information. However, in contrast to expectations, the findings show that the impact of prior attitudesincreaseswhen more evidence is provided.
In: Journal of public administration research and theory, Band 29, Heft 4, S. 660-661
ISSN: 1477-9803
In: Journal of public administration research and theory, Band 28, Heft 2, S. 197-211
ISSN: 1477-9803