Deus Ex Machina: The Influence of Polling Place on Voting Behavior
In: Political psychology: journal of the International Society of Political Psychology, Band 31, Heft 2, S. 209-226
ISSN: 0162-895X
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In: Political psychology: journal of the International Society of Political Psychology, Band 31, Heft 2, S. 209-226
ISSN: 0162-895X
SSRN
In: Social science computer review: SSCORE
ISSN: 1552-8286
In this article, we analyze whether Twitter can be used to detect relative reports of issues at polling places. We use 20,322 tweets geolocated to U.S. states that match a series of keywords on the 2010, 2012, 2014, 2016, and 2018 general election days. We fine-tune BERTweet, a pre-trained language model, using a training set of 6,365 tweets labeled as issues or non-issues. We develop a model with an accuracy of 96.9% and a recall of 72.2%, and another model with an accuracy of 90.5% and a recall of 93.5%, far exceeding the performance of baseline models. Based on these results, we argue that these BERTweet-based models are promising methods for detecting reports of polling place issues on U.S. election days. We suggest that outputs from these models can be used to supplement existing voter protection efforts and to research the impact of policies, demographics, and other variables on voting access.
In: Political analysis: PA ; the official journal of the Society for Political Methodology and the Political Methodology Section of the American Political Science Association, Band 31, Heft 2, S. 165-180
ISSN: 1476-4989
AbstractA potential voter must incur a number of costs in order to successfully cast an in-person ballot, including the costs associated with identifying and traveling to a polling place. In order to investigate how these costs affect voter turnout, we introduce two quasi-experimental designs that can be used to study how the political participation of registered voters is affected by differences in the relative distance that registrants must travel to their assigned Election Day polling place and whether their polling place remains at the same location as in a previous election. Our designs make comparisons of registrants who live on the same residential block, but are assigned to vote at different polling places. We find that living farther from a polling place and being assigned to a new polling place reduce in-person Election Day voting, but that registrants largely offset for this by casting more early in-person and mail ballots.
In: The public opinion quarterly: POQ, Band 70, Heft 2, S. 224-234
ISSN: 1537-5331
Blog: PolitiFact - Rulings and Stories
California S.B. 1174 eliminates the requirement for voter ID at polling places.
In: Religion and Politics Series
Does religion promote political mobilization? Are individuals motivated by their faith to focus on issues of social justice, personal morality, or both? What is the relationship between religious conviction and partisanship? Does religious identity reinforce or undermine other political identifications like race, ethnicity, and class? The answers to these questions are hardly monolithic, varying between and within major American religious groups. With an electoral climate increasingly shaped by issues of faith, values, and competing moral visions, it is both fascinating and essential to examin
In: Religion and Politics Series
Does religion promote political mobilization? Are individuals motivated by their faith to focus on issues of social justice, personal morality, or both? What is the relationship between religious conviction and partisanship? Does religious identity reinforce or undermine other political identifications like race, ethnicity, and class? The answers to these questions are hardly monolithic, varying between and within major American religious groups. With an electoral climate increasingly shaped by issues of faith, values, and competing moral visions, it is both fascinating and essential to examin
In: Religion and politics series
Does religion promote political mobilization? Are individuals motivated by their faith to focus on issues of social justice, personal morality, or both? What is the relationship between religious conviction and partisanship? Does religious identity reinforce or undermine other political identifications like race, ethnicity, and class? The answers to these questions are hardly monolithic, varying between and within major American religious groups. With an electoral climate increasingly shaped by issues of faith, values, and competing moral visions, it is both fascinating and essential to examin
In: American review of politics, Band 29, S. 167-170
ISSN: 1051-5054
In: Journal of church and state: JCS, Band 50, Heft 3, S. 607-609
ISSN: 0021-969X
In: Perspectives on political science, Band 37, Heft 2, S. 112
ISSN: 1045-7097
October 2007 UNITED STATES Politics and Public Policy The diversity and commonalities of politically active religious groups in the United States is the topic of a timely book edited by J. Matthew Wilson, an associate professor of political science at Southern Methodist University. The essays in the volume-eleven in all-address topics ranging from religious mobilization, evangelicalism, the political behavior of American Catholics, American Mormonism, Latino political attitudes and behavior, the public opinion and preferences of American Jews, the politics of American Muslims, and secularism in the American electorate.
In: Peace research abstracts journal, Band 43, Heft 6, S. 224-225
ISSN: 0031-3599
In: Public administration review: PAR, Band 77, Heft 3, S. 354-364
ISSN: 1540-6210
AbstractTremendous attention has been paid to local election administration since the 2000 presidential election meltdown, yet policy makers still lack basic information about what happens at the polling place. One strategy to understand the interactions between citizens and street‐level election bureaucrats is to turn to administrative data. Using logs collected by polling place workers, the authors analyze more than 66,000 individual incidents recorded from four different statewide elections. Such data provide novel insights and guidance for the administration of elections. Findings indicate that task scale (in terms of the number of ballots) and complexity (in terms of absentee ballots) increase the incident rate. Managerial choices about how polling places are run also matter: the use of electronic voting machines and central count processing of ballots reduce the incident rate, while splitting poll worker shifts increases it. Operator capacity, measured in terms of experience, also reduces the number of incidents.
In: American political science review, Band 105, Heft 1, S. 115-134
ISSN: 1537-5943
Could changing the locations of polling places affect the outcome of an election by increasing the costs of voting for some and decreasing them for others? The consolidation of voting precincts in Los Angeles County during California's 2003 gubernatorial recall election provides a natural experiment for studying how changing polling places influences voter turnout. Overall turnout decreased by a substantial 1.85 percentage points: A drop in polling place turnout of 3.03 percentage points was partially offset by an increase in absentee voting of 1.18 percentage points. Both transportation and search costs caused these changes. Although there is no evidence that the Los Angeles Registrar of Voters changed more polling locations for those registered with one party than for those registered with another, the changing of polling places still had a small partisan effect because those registered as Democrats were more sensitive to changes in costs than those registered as Republicans. The effects were small enough to allay worries about significant electoral consequences in this instance (e.g., the partisan effect might be decisive in only about one in two hundred contested House elections), but large enough to make it possible for someone to affect outcomes by more extensive manipulation of polling place locations.