Suchergebnisse

With Deng Xiaoping preparing to "meet Marx", speculation over the shape and stability of the Chinese polity has mounted steadily. In the wake of the 1980 Tiananmen crisis some observers predicted the early demise of Chinese communist regime. After briefly outlining some of the more commonly encountered post-Deng political scenarios, the author examines a number of salient constraints that are likely to affect the future plausibility of each scenario and assesses the contingent probabilities of each scenario. (DÜI-Sen)