L'(in)decision electorale et la temporalite du vote. Le moment du choix pour le premier tour de l'election presidentielle 2007

In: Revue française de science politique, Band 57, Heft 3-4, S. 293-314

Abstract

This article proposes an analysis of electoral (in)decision in the context of the presidential election of 2007. First of all, a theoretical & methodological reflection on the measure of the electoral indecision is proposed because the concept can take several meanings: absence of firmness of the vote intention, late crystallization of the choice, hesitations between different potential votes. We measure here (in)decision by the moment of choice; then we distinguish three types of voters: those "convinced" for a long time, those recently "conquered" & finally those still "circumspect" late in the campaign. We use the data of the 2007 Panel electoral francais realized by the Cevipof to portray these three types of (in)decided voters. Map. Adapted from the source document.