Aufsatz(gedruckt)1982
HOW A-CURATE ARE THOSE PROJECTIONS?
In: Presidential studies quarterly, Band 12, Heft 1, S. 80-83
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Abstract
THE AUTHOR EXAMINES TWO QUESTIONS IN THIS ARTICLE: FIRST, HOW ACCURATE HAVE PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION PREDICTIONS BEEN IN THE PAST, AND SECOND, ASSUMING THAT ERRORS WERE MADE, WAS THERE ANY SYSTEMATIC PATTERN TO THEM? THE ANSWERS TO THESE QUESTIONS CAN HELP THE CITIZEN JUDGE HOW SERIOUSLY TO TAKE THESE FORECASTS AND ALSO HELP THE MEDIA DETERMINE HOW TO IMPROVE THEM.
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ISSN: 0360-4918
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