Futures research and environmental sustainability: theory and method

Cover -- Half Title -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Contents -- List of Figures -- List of Tables -- Preface -- Author -- Introduction -- 1. Environmental Sustainability: The Art and Science -- 1.1 Defining the Challenge -- 1.2 Sustainability Theory -- 1.3 The Definition Problem -- 1.4 Sustainability Models -- 1.5 Weak versus Strong Sustainability -- 1.6 Embracing the Environmental -- 1.7 Summary -- References -- 2. Assessing Environmental Sustainability: The Challenge -- 2.1 The Assessment Question -- 2.2 Environmental Impact Analysis -- 2.3 Strategic Environmental Assessment -- 2.4 Environmental Sustainability Assessment -- 2.5 Assessment Indicators -- 2.6 Sustainability Indicators -- 2.7 Summary -- References -- 3. Prediction, Uncertainty, and Environmental Sustainability -- 3.1 Uncertainty and Time -- 3.2 Precaution and Environmental Sustainability -- 3.3 Prediction as Process -- 3.4 Event Tree Analysis -- 3.5 Summary -- References -- 4. Introducing the Future -- 4.1 The Science of the Future -- 4.2 Forecasting Preliminaries -- 4.3 Considering the Long Term -- 4.4 Prospective Analysis -- 4.5 Visioning the Future -- 4.6 Summary -- References -- 5. Methodological Approaches -- 5.1 Exploring Sustainable Futures -- 5.2 A Typology of Method -- 5.2.1 Qualitative Forecasting Methods -- 5.2.2 Quantitative Forecasting Methods -- 5.3 Summary -- References -- 6. Geospatial Solutions -- 6.1 Technique and Technology -- 6.2 Constructing Spatial Models -- 6.3 Decision Analytics -- 6.3.1 Multicriteria Decision Analysis -- 6.4 Crafting the Geospatial Solution -- 6.5 Summary -- References -- 7. Scenarios and Uncertainty -- 7.1 The Scenario Concept -- 7.2 Scenario Development -- 7.3 Uncertainty Revisited -- 7.4 Scenario Planning and Visioning -- 7.5 Summary -- References -- 8. Sustainability Strategies -- 8.1 The Challenge of Change