Trend and Fuzzy Time Series Analysis of Live Births Registration in Northern Ghana

In: Statistics, Politics, and Policy, Band 15, Heft 1, S. 65-85

Abstract

Abstract
This study investigated four trend analysis models namely; linear, quadratic, semi log linear and semi log quadratic to study the pattern of live births registration in the Northern Region of Ghana. The study revealed that Semi log linear trend model is the best trend model for studying the pattern of live births registration in the Northern Region of Ghana based on AIC and BIC criteria. The study further fitted four existing fuzzy time series (FTS) models for forecasting live births registration in the Northern Region of Ghana. The Chen, Singh, Heuristic and Chen-Hsu models are the four models used to analyze the data.