Redibujando el mapa electoral chileno: incidencia de factores socioeconomicos y genero en las urnas

In: Revista de ciencia política, Band 24, Heft 2, S. 49-66

Abstract

This article studies the change of cleavages in the post-authoritarian Chile using electoral & socioeconomic evidence that goes beyond presidential elections & public opinion polls. This research allows us to determine that the socioeconomic conditions (measured through the index of human development) have the expected effects on the percentage of votes obtained by each of the two major coalitions of the country (the governing Concertacion, & the opposition Alianza). In general terms, the Concertacion obtains better results in the communes with greater values of the index of human development & the Alianza in communes with lower levels of human development. Nonetheless, if we considered the curvilinear effects, the Alianza perform better in communes with extreme values of IDH & the Concertacion in the communes with average values. In other words, the Concertacion presents a distribution with a shape similar to an inversed U (n), & the Alianza otherwise (U). With respect to the vote of women we can affirm that, although they still tend to favor parties of the Alianza, women simultaneously tend to vote more to the women than to the men. Therefore, we can observe gender solidarity at the polls. 4 Tables, 2 Figures, 62 References. Adapted from the source document.