TY - JOUR TI - Successful or counterproductive coercion?: the effect of international sanctions on conflict intensity AU - Hultman, Lisa AU - Peksen, Dursun PY - 2017 LA - eng KW - Bürgerkrieg KW - Verlauf KW - Konflikt KW - Intensität KW - Eskalation KW - Kriegsopfer KW - Bedeutung KW - Rolle KW - Internationalisierung KW - Innerstaatlicher Konflikt KW - Sanktion KW - Vergleich KW - Wirtschaftssanktion KW - Waffenembargo KW - Statistische Analyse KW - Afrika KW - Konfliktverlauf KW - Konfliktintensität KW - Konflikteskalation KW - Kriegstote KW - Bedeutung/Rolle KW - Internationalisierung innerstaatlicher Konflikte KW - Sanktionen KW - Wirtschaftssanktionen KW - Africa KW - Civil wars KW - Course of conflicts KW - Intensity of conflicts KW - Escalation of conflicts KW - War dead KW - Importance/role KW - Internationalization of intrastate conflicts KW - Sanctions KW - Comparison KW - Economic sanctions KW - Arms embargoes KW - Statistical analysis AB - Despite the frequent use of economic and military-specific sanctions against countries affected by civil conflicts, little is known about the possible impact that these coercive tools have on conflict dynamics. This article examines how threats and imposition of international sanctions affect the intensity of civil conflict violence. We formulate and test two competing views on the possible effect of economic and military-specific sanctions on conflict dynamics by combining data on fatalities in battle-related violence in all internal armed conflicts in Africa from 1989 to 2005 with data on economic sanctions and arms embargoes. The results indicate that threats of economic sanction and arms embargo are likely to increase the intensity of conflict violence. Similarly, imposed economic sanctions are likely to contribute to the escalation of conflict violence. Imposed arms embargoes, on the other hand, are likely to reduce conflict violence. We conclude that international sanctions appear to be counterproductive policy tools in mitigating the human cost of civil conflicts unless they are in the form of imposed arms embargoes attempting to limit the military capacity of the warring parties. UR - https://doi.org/10.1177/0022002715603453 DO - 10.1177/0022002715603453 T2 - The journal of conflict resolution: journal of the Peace Science Society (International) VL - 61 IS - 6 SN - 1552-8766 SN - 0022-0027 SP - 1315-1339 UR - https://www.pollux-fid.de/r/kxp-156228469X H1 - Pollux (Fachinformationsdienst Politikwissenschaft) ER -